TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa60…2de1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 62 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1586.7%13 W · 2 L+4.3wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+51.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$338.51
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$32.56
Spread: Athletics (-2.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.53
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$15.93
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.31
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.21
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$100.95
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.41
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$816.02
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$403
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$545.63
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$116.13
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$184.64
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$371.34
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$136.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29.96
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.79
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$42.04
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$233.85
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$118.4
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.79
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,538.2
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$891Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$890.88
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$592.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.51
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galanbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigurbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$247
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+166.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+166.7%+$762.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$448.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$798.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.