MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fc1698adce04e36a16da065dc12a47d6eca62fde0aa91b6f606668f6c31ddf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Pittsburgh Pirates, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,712,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,723,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,712,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 513 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Athletics | 56c | 710,526$396,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314,211.73 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 602,677$10,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,278.21 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 223,481$94,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,238.71 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 198,677$88,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,417.88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 103,783$47,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,740.36 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 30,580$13,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,394.53 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 26,059$10,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,509.8 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 21,155$9,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,942.93 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Athletics | 52c | 16,818$8,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,072.74 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 15,523$7,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,451 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Athletics | 69c | 10,819$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.73 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 9,533$4,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,194.73 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 3c | 7,111$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 5,602$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 4,862$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.54 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 4,458$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.11 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 53c | 4,215$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.59 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Athletics | 53c | 3,498$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.92 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 77c | 3,438$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.81 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Athletics | 53c | 3,396$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.23 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 3,110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.88 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Athletics | 63c | 2,759$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.59 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,962$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.77 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 1c | 1,807$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.94 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 4c | 1,706$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 99 | 28.3%28 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9300…d0f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,664$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Athletics | 53c | 1,500$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 1,445$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.46 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 1,259$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,209$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.6 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,206$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.38 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Athletics | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,200$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,178$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.74 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Athletics | 56c | 1,159$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.05 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,153$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.05 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Athletics | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,131$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.57 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,081$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Athletics | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Athletics | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 8c | 972.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 898.5$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.09 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Athletics | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa847…36d7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 854.19$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Athletics | 53c | 808.93$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.19 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 795$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 77c | 786.84$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.75 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 779.31$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.11 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 773.87$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.72 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Athletics | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 3c | 699.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 697$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.62 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 667.81$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.23 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 638.52$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Athletics | 73c | 634.04$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.24 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 631.1$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 622$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.9 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 617.61$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…8359backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 10c | 600.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 585.16$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Athletics | 53c | 565.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 477 | 52.8%252 W · 225 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Athletics | 53c | 561.04$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.69 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Athletics | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…d744backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 541.98$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Athletics | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 251 | 53%133 W · 118 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 500$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Athletics | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 53c | 498.91$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.49 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 483.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 53c | 434.82$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.29 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Athletics | 78c | 432$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 416.43$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 10c | 416.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 14c | 400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 399.97$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Athletics | 53c | 390$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1d…4c28backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 6c | 385.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…650bbacked Athletics | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Athletics | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…567cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 4c | 375.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Athletics | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 367.9$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.32 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 5c | 367.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc6…a83dbacked Athletics | 71c | 355.52$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.