MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9db24743a550c1d7e2be17297af4479272a85bdf7554a3a67a15e2c36ba2f091
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 49c | 40,816$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,816.33 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 51c | 23,907$12,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,192.67 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 50c | 18,400$9,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,279.64 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 53c | 15,000$7,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,069.69 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 52c | 9,786$5,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,088.97 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 8,990$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 4,331$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.23 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 4,250$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.4 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 3,848$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.39 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 54c | 2,530$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.12 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 2,287$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.37 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 50c | 2,207$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.42 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Over | 53c | 2,194$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.18 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 49c | 2,124$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.64 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 47c | 1,849$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.07 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 44c | 1,604$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.69 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,577$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.27 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 1,409$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.5 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,260$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 1,135$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.61 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,072$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.01 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.7 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Over | 50c | 731.54$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.77 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 715.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.62 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 693.89$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.88 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 50c | 625$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.25 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 48c | 598.01$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.41 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 52c | 560.37$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.39 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 423.54$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.33 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Under | 53c | 377$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 29c | 333.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 51c | 308.43$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 56c | 291.11$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.71 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Under | 8c | 276.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 204.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Under | 51c | 196.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 49c | 151$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 38c | 124.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under | 55c | 123.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 48c | 122.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Under | 59c | 118.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 117.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Over | 61c | 108.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 52c | 107$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Under | 50c | 106.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 51c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 52c | 93.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 48c | 89.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Over | 49c | 89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 250 | 34.8%87 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 48c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 56c | 76.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 70.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 50c | 62.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Under | 56c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Under | 50c | 58.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…aa48backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 50c | 53.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 54c | 52.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 54c | 51.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 46.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 52c | 43.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 55c | 38.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 51c | 38.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 52c | 37.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Under | 51c | 35.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 48c | 34.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 58c | 34.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Under | 56c | 34.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Over | 52c | 33.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 53c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0606…b2afbacked Under | 48c | 29.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 52c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bac…e59dbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Under | 46c | 28.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Under | 59c | 27.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.