TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,087
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,087 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Over49c40,816$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,816.3316548.5%80 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under51c23,907$12,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,192.6741149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under50c18,400$9,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,279.6411952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over53c15,000$7,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,069.6948451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.998151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under52c9,786$5,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,088.9743647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c8,990$4,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,225.6210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c4,331$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.238,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under50c4,250$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.486653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c3,848$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.3911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53020350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under54c2,530$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.128,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under51c2,287$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.373,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under50c2,207$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.4224651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Over53c2,194$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.185050%25 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Over49c2,124$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.6429147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under47c1,849$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.0760451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over44c1,604$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.694,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c1,577$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.2712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c1,409$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.51,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over50c1,260$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.82,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c1,135$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.618,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over53c1,072$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.0168053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4149158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under49c1,010$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.736048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5207451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45070744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3759,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Over50c731.54$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.775350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c715.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.626,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c693.89$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.8895850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over50c625$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2532850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over48c598.01$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.413,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under52c560.37$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3961450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25012939.5%51 W · 78 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under51c423.54$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.336,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Under53c377$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8111662.9%73 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under29c333.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3954715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over49c326.53$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5394549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Over51c308.43$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9321550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under56c291.11$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.711,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda54…b8a1backed Under8c276.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2928456.7%161 W · 123 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Under51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.551449.2%253 W · 261 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over48c204.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.61,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10261948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Under51c196.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6816251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under52c169.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8815147%71 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over49c151$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.012,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Over49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.544949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under38c124.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.363,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under55c123.47$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.127652.9%146 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under48c122.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.981,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee1…f616backed Under59c118.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c117.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.124,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Over61c108.4$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.948850%44 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under52c107$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.642,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe231…93a5backed Under50c106.49$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7410846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under51c99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.751,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over52c93.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5494648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over48c89.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7912549.6%62 W · 63 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed Over49c89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3925034.8%87 W · 163 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over48c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.331,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.677050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Under56c76.11$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2853644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6f…cb64backed Under56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408251.2%42 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over48c70.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.642,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over50c62.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3567453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Under56c61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3734639.6%137 W · 209 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.616057.5%92 W · 68 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under51c59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0945045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Under50c58.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4144345.6%202 W · 241 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc40a…aa48backed Under52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302552%13 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over50c53.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.091,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over54c52.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3131258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over54c51.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.072,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1762554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under47c46.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over54c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa25a…04b7backed Under52c43.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5414546.2%67 W · 78 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over55c38.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.582,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over51c38.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.641,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Over52c37.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0519155.5%106 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8490…ac46backed Under51c35.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.284555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over48c34.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.253950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over58c34.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.494,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1554651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Under56c34.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0824243%104 W · 138 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Over52c33.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.183545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under42c33.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1427646.7%129 W · 147 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under46c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1870737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.935849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under53c29.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8963943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0606…b2afbacked Under48c29.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.132835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over52c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.976,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bac…e59dbacked Under52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Under46c28.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210742.1%45 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3894…decfbacked Under59c27.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0337551.2%192 W · 183 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.