MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfca70ad7514154e87278badf00646e2c5c51f41bf318c7d8f4d63b3e93b282c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Seattle Mariners, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $564,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $576,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $564,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 430 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 198,960$97,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,469.6 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 192,690$98,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,272 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 71,860$39,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,519.34 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 47,273$20,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,909.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 29,043$17,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,422.31 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 15,000$9,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,181.18 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 14,069$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 12,634$6,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,443.42 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 8c | 10,868$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.53 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 9,158$6,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.66 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 28c | 8,435$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 7,897$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,908.39 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 7,856$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.69 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 11c | 7,653$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.3 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 6,768$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.68 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 6,063$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.75 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.91 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 4,924$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 33c | 4,544$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 4,494$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.7 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Seattle Mariners | 23c | 4,453$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.16 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 4,218$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.12 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Seattle Mariners | 32c | 4,055$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.71 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 4,043$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.61 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 4,005$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.51 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 3,983$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.29 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 3,667$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.1 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…e770backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 3,600$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.81 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,547$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.77 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 3,100$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.19 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 2,540$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.8 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.98 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 2,290$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.86 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 2,101$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.6 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 1,969$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.47 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…382dbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,950$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Seattle Mariners | 22c | 1,800$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.45 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.78 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…64b6backed Seattle Mariners | 3c | 1,580$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 1,395$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.01 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.98 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…a160backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,159$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,142$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.91 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 34c | 1,081$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,015$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.8 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Seattle Mariners | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…d992backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 946.02$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ad…dffebacked Seattle Mariners | 30c | 940.18$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 923.25$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.41 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 893.06$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.53 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 876$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.52 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…c98fbacked Seattle Mariners | 22c | 874.83$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.75 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 860$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.6 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…2de1backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 807.26$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.34 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 775.51$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.51 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 705.88$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 674.41$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.95 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Seattle Mariners | 33c | 608.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Mariners | 17c | 606.22$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 599.98$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Seattle Mariners | 14c | 575.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 575$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 571.5$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 529.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa788…9283backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 509.62$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 502.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cf…d320backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 495.19$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc799…fe94backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 472.12$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 466$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.76 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 461.9$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Seattle Mariners | 31c | 459.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 444.09$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 443.71$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.69 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Seattle Mariners | 35c | 439$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Seattle Mariners | 9c | 429.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 428.57$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 424$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 423.13$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.6 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf882…ab9dbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Seattle Mariners | 3c | 408.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edf…c034backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 399.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…3c59backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…0690backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 382.32$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 378.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.