TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Pittsburgh Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,342,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,143,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,342,841 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 656 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Los Angeles Dodgers63c785,900$495,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290,7836758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates37c550,194$203,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203,917.693638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates37c100,000$37,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,0003450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ff…906cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates0c99,990$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates37c50,000$18,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,5004548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates37c46,253$17,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,113.54,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates34c41,802$14,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,193.853,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates38c35,190$13,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,211.613,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Pittsburgh Pirates37c30,675$11,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,397.328553.3%152 W · 133 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Los Angeles Dodgers62c22,300$13,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,47418241.2%75 W · 107 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers63c21,303$13,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,910.21,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Pittsburgh Pirates38c18,845$7,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,161.0245253.8%243 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers63c15,873$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,873.028666.3%57 W · 29 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates37c15,764$5,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,832.751,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates27c15,136$4,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,150.9597044.9%436 W · 534 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Los Angeles Dodgers61c15,091$9,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,885.6877153.8%415 W · 356 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed Pittsburgh Pirates39c13,724$5,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,352.411127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-48.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Los Angeles Dodgers62c13,724$8,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,215.171172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+64.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5762…90eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates17c13,162$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.536552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pittsburgh Pirates40c13,066$5,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,195.9359549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates15c12,719$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.5568769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Los Angeles Dodgers62c12,284$7,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,667.871,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates27c11,736$3,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,153.9812,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates38c9,817$3,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.346,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates20c9,694$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.6315840.5%64 W · 94 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Pittsburgh Pirates17c9,420$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.832058.4%187 W · 133 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates20c9,107$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.428,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates37c9,011$3,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33435643.5%155 W · 201 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers65c8,680$5,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.792,04439.5%808 W · 1,236 L-24.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates36c8,196$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.534,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pittsburgh Pirates38c7,777$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,955.2647953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Los Angeles Dodgers64c7,529$4,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Los Angeles Dodgers61c7,513$4,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,938.9623854.6%130 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c7,410$4,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.1412339%48 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates0c7,300$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.68762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Pittsburgh Pirates13c7,155$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.1752228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers62c5,500$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,09012255.7%68 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f8…fe20backed Los Angeles Dodgers61c5,399$3,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.671553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates18c5,199$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.411241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates40c5,067$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.731,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Los Angeles Dodgers62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9007460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Pittsburgh Pirates43c4,794$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.514648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3837…c6b0backed Los Angeles Dodgers63c4,593$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.541770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Pittsburgh Pirates26c4,544$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.519248.4%93 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Los Angeles Dodgers60c4,532$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.51,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c4,291$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.2922257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Pittsburgh Pirates31c4,065$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.387047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Pittsburgh Pirates15c4,016$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.392944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers68c3,924$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.839,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers61c3,906$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.571,52751.1%780 W · 747 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers62c3,719$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.352650%13 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates26c3,626$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.388,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates38c3,461$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.935,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Pittsburgh Pirates43c3,424$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.932,14950.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe5…ae70backed Los Angeles Dodgers61c3,359$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Los Angeles Dodgers63c3,300$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2212166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Pittsburgh Pirates40c3,032$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20028944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Los Angeles Dodgers60c2,772$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.8791252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Pittsburgh Pirates37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9813345.9%61 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Pittsburgh Pirates20c2,661$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.442,17239.9%866 W · 1,306 L+1.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pittsburgh Pirates1c2,600$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.95053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Pittsburgh Pirates40c2,589$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.7977951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x720e…17b0backed Los Angeles Dodgers63c2,559$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.66467.2%43 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Los Angeles Dodgers62c2,419$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.353531.4%11 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Los Angeles Dodgers68c2,401$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.211,52059.1%899 W · 621 L+78.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd82…9f66backed Pittsburgh Pirates14c2,200$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.2415937.7%60 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers60c2,130$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8524,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a41…0123backed Pittsburgh Pirates15c2,118$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.261735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.9645451.3%233 W · 221 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Los Angeles Dodgers63c1,984$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.137950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Los Angeles Dodgers66c1,973$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.7415851.9%82 W · 76 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Pittsburgh Pirates13c1,859$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.721,00344.6%447 W · 556 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a07…1d4dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates35c1,827$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.914546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Pittsburgh Pirates9c1,764$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510725.2%27 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates40c1,700$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.21,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates2c1,700$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4526718.4%49 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Los Angeles Dodgers59c1,691$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.2260451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09bc…df12backed Los Angeles Dodgers60c1,681$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.595556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pittsburgh Pirates4c1,661$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc6…a83dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers62c1,640$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.331675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5197…053cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+42.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Pittsburgh Pirates43c1,600$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.0171044.5%316 W · 394 L-23.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Los Angeles Dodgers63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.323457.7%135 W · 99 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9300…d0f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates37c1,514$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.32825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-59.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Pittsburgh Pirates37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55543253.9%233 W · 199 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a47…0c54backed Los Angeles Dodgers59c1,450$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.461361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates38c1,447$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.173,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates2c1,440$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7517517.1%30 W · 145 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates27c1,359$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.521,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6101…23bcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates11c1,204$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.859335.5%33 W · 60 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Los Angeles Dodgers63c1,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44420555.6%114 W · 91 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Pittsburgh Pirates39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.9855545.8%254 W · 301 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pittsburgh Pirates1c1,154$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.215862%12 W · 574 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates21c1,120$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9511,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Pittsburgh Pirates21c1,119$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4572655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x526b…5269backed Pittsburgh Pirates20c1,118$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9811423.7%27 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-29.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc667…34cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates11c1,114$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.761315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+156.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates41c1,096$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.328339.8%33 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13b7…c98fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates14c1,071$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.393941%16 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Los Angeles Dodgers64c1,063$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.59245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.