TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,254
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,254 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under50c14,918$7,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4592,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over50c14,134$7,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,06755053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c3,961$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.8944749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Under49c2,805$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.6286548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c2,361$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.765,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00829948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under48c2,099$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.858,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7889153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c1,520$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.46,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under63c1,475$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.810246.1%47 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.583,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.4717546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under49c999.97$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.991,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under49c881.99$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.182,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under29c874.81$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.069,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Under59c593.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Over51c590$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.126948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.26854.4%37 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over51c473.47$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under50c440.88$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.448,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over41c432.7$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1638353.8%206 W · 177 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over48c374.77$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.489258.7%54 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over58c352.67$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.121,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1224350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under49c289.52$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8656851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6e…4555backed Under50c282$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14114046.4%65 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c263.07$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.344,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over72c201.13$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over41c200$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1195435.2%19 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0865248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafca…92b4backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7318154.7%99 W · 82 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under23c127$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.121,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under56c119.19$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4972655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over50c118$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0469…5eb0backed Over46c101.64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8915549.7%77 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3f…7320backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4961948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5069351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over51c99.45$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7320945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over51c98.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4613853.6%74 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.372,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.158,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under52c77.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.213,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under46c70.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.353,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Over51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.316345.4%74 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over45c64.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.521,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1201…a74dbacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.446557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71d1…a991backed Under43c58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254951%25 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over55c57.34$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.946,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…84e4backed Under44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Under51c50.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9883053%440 W · 390 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over73c46.63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.571,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4519252.6%101 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcd…724dbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2010249%50 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.628943.3%125 W · 164 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Under55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.817752.5%93 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2023455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…c5bebacked Under50c39.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.521172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a41…0123backed Under32c39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.481735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over53c35.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7110438.5%40 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Over51c33.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3325256.7%143 W · 109 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under43c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6735248%169 W · 183 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9be1…9947backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7d…b3ffbacked Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fc5…9fcfbacked Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.76749.3%33 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36f2…a6fabacked Over51c29.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5510253.9%55 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over62c27.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.222,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over51c26.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.042,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Over49c25.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9727454.4%149 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa67…0ed7backed Over51c25.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09a6…252abacked Under52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139359.1%55 W · 38 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over67c24.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.092,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda54…b8a1backed Under52c23.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4628456.7%161 W · 123 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under57c20.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.882,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over51c20.31$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.951,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b4c…c0e3backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026940.5%109 W · 160 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1019248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.