TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaa67…0ed7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)backed Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$27.13
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.87
Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)backed Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+67%+$16.75
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Set Handicap: Rodionov (-1.5) vs Schwaerzler (+1.5)backed Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set Handicap: Oliynykova (-1.5) vs Burel (+1.5)backed Burel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baezbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sophie Greiner vs Nina Tepicbacked Sophie Greiner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.33
Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$6.99
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanubacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.33
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankovabacked Mia Pohankova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romanobacked Filippo Romano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$10.85
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfilsbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.49
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.56
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$685
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Kings vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+124.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$347.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$25.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Damien Anderson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.