MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e923a44fefa4d0232ca56f3cfb6dfc23a7268b7319a03f57f6e330f351c08ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,608 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 9,982$5,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,944.46 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 8,005$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.7 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 7,016$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.39 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 3,395$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.28 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,796$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.06 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,727$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.75 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,718$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,594$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.52 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,478$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.76 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,382$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 914.35$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.82 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 900$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 802.2$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 718.6$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.31 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 713.41$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.94 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 683.76$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.96 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 624.8$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 506$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.06 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 483.6$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c2…8f23backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 447.4$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 404$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.46 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 360.04$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.95 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 307$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 244.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 242.87$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 237.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 232.03$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 216.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 208.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.31 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 175.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 171.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 166.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 163$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 152.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 140.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…9d70backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 135.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 121.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 107.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 105.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 104.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 104.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 97.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 95.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 89.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Miami Marlins | 17c | 86.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 82.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 80.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 71.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 70.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 70.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 70.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 67.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e5…ab31backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8322…b5fbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 63.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 56.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 55.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 52.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 51.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 46.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6833…751abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 39.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…9228backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 35.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 33.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12c…57acbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 33.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0217…253cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb13…b7f8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 27.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 25.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…485abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 24.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 22.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…9d7cbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 22.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edd…3ae8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa67…0ed7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fee…c478backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.