TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,019,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,019,482 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 698 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf195…8057backed Kings52c387,878$201,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186,497.545352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Rangers48c197,755$95,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,434.7851550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Kings50c109,336$54,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,568.0119848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kings50c98,580$49,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,290.0640351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Rangers49c98,377$48,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,630.291,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Rangers50c93,699$46,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,849.6648549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Rangers48c85,739$41,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,278.2211052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Rangers48c80,000$38,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,40036748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rangers50c58,528$29,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,264.1256649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings51c28,228$14,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,825.151,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Rangers49c14,965$7,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,332.6348545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rangers49c11,974$5,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,897.241,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Kings54c11,762$6,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,463.3327448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Rangers49c11,502$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings49c10,020$4,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,110.22,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Kings49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Rangers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Kings50c9,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Kings52c9,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3205552.7%29 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Rangers12c8,210$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.341850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Kings51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9209752.6%51 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rangers50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rangers48c7,451$3,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,576.371,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Rangers50c6,472$3,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,23622747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Rangers50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00015145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings50c5,915$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,959.441,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings49c5,845$2,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,977.052,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rangers4c5,665$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.1789355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Kings50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Rangers50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Rangers50c4,580$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.9924349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rangers48c4,532$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.7860337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6539…471cbacked Rangers49c4,122$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…5331backed Kings52c4,096$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Rangers49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4d…8e7ebacked Kings51c4,080$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.21172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Rangers49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Rangers49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.9839752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Kings51c4,000$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.9762346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings57c3,581$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5561,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kings51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.1291945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Kings50c3,116$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.0925447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Rangers50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Kings50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Rangers48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed Kings51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rangers49c2,985$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Rangers51c2,825$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4417755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Rangers50c2,800$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40044551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x948d…409fbacked Kings51c2,559$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7163…fa3ebacked Rangers48c2,546$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Kings52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdf0…36cebacked Rangers48c2,451$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x391e…ae23backed Kings51c2,437$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Rangers32c2,406$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.926538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Rangers47c2,222$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.3110850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Rangers49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb145…df85backed Rangers37c2,027$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings49c2,012$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.291,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf638…aa50backed Kings50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Kings51c2,000$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.83259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Rangers9c1,932$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7233234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b0…a9e6backed Kings52c1,921$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.021154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Kings52c1,885$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.6229551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Rangers51c1,815$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.654247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings51c1,802$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.3991653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Kings51c1,755$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.986549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Kings67c1,541$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.0757157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Rangers27c1,535$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.1611435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings49c1,501$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.3159450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Kings52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72063249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rangers48c1,284$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.311,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d9…e72dbacked Kings52c1,117$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.381361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Rangers26c1,111$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.038056.3%45 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Rangers48c1,111$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2889249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Kings52c1,043$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.6442847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Kings50c1,027$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.6445955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Kings49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4140356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Rangers51c1,003$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Kings50c1,000$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49624847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Kings50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5009157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Rangers46c999.25$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.829448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Kings52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5414940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings67c958$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.172,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Kings50c900$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4478752.9%46 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…dbdbbacked Rangers49c820.41$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa70b…7a8abacked Kings51c817.65$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.658046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Kings50c793.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.9212328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Kings51c776.77$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.775048%24 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a21…c651backed Kings52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.23650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Kings51c731.37$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.377149.3%35 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings49c714$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.1483149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa939…d177backed Kings52c662$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.761050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6d…b3b7backed Rangers50c623.78$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.892630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x72b2…ffcabacked Rangers49c612.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.367556%42 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Kings52c603.03$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.639251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Rangers49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29427150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Kings52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.