NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2528aafcd3f4484a1701e1603f7db9e570aef2ebcdc9f4ce5c8db49aa67370b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,890 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 1c | 1,771$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…e8d1backed Under | 29c | 480.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 71c | 307.78$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.26 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 74c | 269.95$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…2de2backed Under | 37c | 266$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 66c | 240$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 39c | 215.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Under | 35c | 202.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 63c | 140.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 14c | 127$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 61c | 117.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Under | 27c | 93.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under | 28c | 89.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 61c | 80.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 33c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Over | 65c | 54.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 23c | 45.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985f…7a5bbacked Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 69c | 36.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 75c | 35.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 76c | 33.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 62c | 30.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 63c | 29.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 73c | 29.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 72c | 23.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Over | 64c | 22.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 78c | 19.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 76c | 18.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5this page
- Kings vs. RangersKings won
- Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.