NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08e3e0c8bf5c6c4bac4fe733545bed3a5d026e167dafd7ad7a5d1e221683f72a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,974 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4958…a146backed Under | 47c | 15,590$7,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,212.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 8,352$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.69 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…8f4ebacked Over | 54c | 7,260$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked Over | 53c | 6,986$3,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,702.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 48c | 5,706$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.25 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed Under | 47c | 5,680$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 52c | 4,944$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.63 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…0f0fbacked Over | 53c | 3,771$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ef…dcb1backed Under | 47c | 3,771$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…0139backed Over | 53c | 3,739$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd997…53f2backed Over | 53c | 3,672$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 52c | 2,326$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.04 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 2,223$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.47 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…69c2backed Under | 49c | 2,123$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 2,065$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.28 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 52c | 2,010$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.26 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…2999backed Over | 53c | 1,941$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 1,048$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.93 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 62c | 845.43$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.63 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 31c | 588.26$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.16 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 504.19$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.98 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 483.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.84 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ce…5975backed Over | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 37c | 455.94$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.38 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 381.49$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.47 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 50c | 270.6$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 50c | 212.16$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 53c | 209.72$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Over | 52c | 205.77$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…c088backed Over | 53c | 176.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 153.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 49c | 117$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 35c | 115.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 46c | 79.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 66c | 59.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 62c | 58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 43c | 57.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Over | 50c | 45.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 52c | 45.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 52c | 44.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 37.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 45c | 37.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 37c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 51c | 29.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 50c | 28.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Under | 60c | 26.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 46c | 25.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 44c | 24.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 56c | 24.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Under | 69c | 23.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 21.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 55c | 18.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Kings vs. RangersKings won
- Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.