TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88bd…c088

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT6347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.73
Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Murray State Racers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.4
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.75
Bradley Braves vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Bradley Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.65
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Illinois State Redbirdsbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.84
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$43.07
Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-3.5)backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.36
Davidson Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$74.12
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.17
Spread: Harvard Crimson (-2.5)backed Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$42.97
Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.12
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$29.07
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49%+$27.01
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggiesbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$46.52
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.39
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.01
Delaware State Hornets vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.97
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$22.54
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron Zipsbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.16
Davidson Wildcats vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$30.16
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Sam Houston Bearkats: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.86
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.07
Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$34.54
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$32.08
Spread: Devils (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.28
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.06
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
Utah vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$47.33
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$57.55
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$194.97
Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.71
Kings vs. Rangersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.2
Bruins vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.49
Penguins vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.11
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.98
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$66.06
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.05
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$20.43
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.29
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.17
Spread: Devils (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.13
Flames vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$126.68
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+167.6%+$203.77
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+106.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$298.41
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group Dbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.