NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b51a84c45de455be3ef8646c43f72baaf09f32ed1a4afaa45a7c1401f62cd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Flames, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $536,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536,021 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Islanders | 58c | 250,000$145,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,999.94 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Flames | 42c | 247,713$104,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,129.79 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Islanders | 61c | 19,972$12,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,869.83 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flames | 6c | 16,700$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flames | 40c | 14,732$5,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,892.76 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Islanders | 79c | 11,792$9,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.83 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 57c | 11,111$6,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.72 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Flames | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 31c | 9,766$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.29 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flames | 43c | 9,466$4,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,078.46 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flames | 42c | 9,000$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Islanders | 57c | 8,915$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.9 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 57c | 8,595$4,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.76 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Islanders | 57c | 7,956$4,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,381.55 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Islanders | 58c | 7,201$4,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.96 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Islanders | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flames | 43c | 5,529$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.27 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Islanders | 57c | 5,500$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Flames | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flames | 42c | 4,761$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.62 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flames | 43c | 4,604$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Islanders | 57c | 4,291$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.14 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders | 78c | 3,691$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.44 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Islanders | 59c | 3,333$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.51 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Flames | 42c | 3,255$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.25 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Islanders | 58c | 3,148$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.92 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Flames | 19c | 2,774$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.81 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 35c | 2,670$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.12 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 41c | 2,607$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.02 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Flames | 12c | 2,466$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Flames | 6c | 2,455$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.73 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Flames | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Islanders | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flames | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Flames | 43c | 1,758$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Islanders | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Islanders | 57c | 1,651$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.93 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flames | 4c | 1,649$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Flames | 42c | 1,638$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.13 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Islanders | 56c | 1,600$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.97 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flames | 22c | 1,598$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.6 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Flames | 4c | 1,533$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Islanders | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Flames | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3d…4239backed Islanders | 57c | 1,437$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.91 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Flames | 43c | 1,291$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flames | 40c | 1,255$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.03 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Islanders | 60c | 1,200$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Flames | 42c | 1,184$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.21 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Islanders | 76c | 1,143$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.86 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Flames | 3c | 1,056$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Flames | 29c | 1,036$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.06 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Islanders | 58c | 1,000$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flames | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Islanders | 59c | 970$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.7 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8865…ad52backed Islanders | 57c | 967$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.81 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +84%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Islanders | 57c | 870$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.1 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Islanders | 58c | 855$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.1 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Flames | 24c | 824.14$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.52 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Flames | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Flames | 7c | 751.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Islanders | 59c | 744$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.04 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…9510backed Islanders | 57c | 732$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.76 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…56dfbacked Flames | 44c | 722$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.68 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…2817backed Flames | 44c | 721$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.24 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Flames | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…10f2backed Flames | 44c | 698.25$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Islanders | 58c | 677.51$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.26 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd174…c897backed Islanders | 57c | 660$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…7b70backed Flames | 2c | 627.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Islanders | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Flames | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Islanders | 79c | 575.59$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Flames | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Islanders | 58c | 560.66$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.19 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 15c | 526.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Islanders | 58c | 525$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Flames | 43c | 515.86$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.82 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Islanders | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…cfe1backed Islanders | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…cd6ebacked Flames | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880f…78e3backed Flames | 44c | 486.5$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Islanders | 58c | 482.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…ff76backed Flames | 42c | 476$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 36c | 468.53$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.93 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef7…d842backed Islanders | 57c | 462.23$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.76 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…6d01backed Islanders | 57c | 459$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…81a3backed Islanders | 57c | 426$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Islanders | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Flames | 6c | 414.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Flames | 12c | 410.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Flames | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…3246backed Islanders | 57c | 388$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.84 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Flames | 44c | 386.77$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.02 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…797cbacked Flames | 44c | 383.25$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…c77ebacked Islanders | 57c | 375$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…e490backed Flames | 44c | 374.75$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.89 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae9…66b4backed Flames | 44c | 364.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…6dcfbacked Islanders | 57c | 360$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Islandersthis page
- Flames vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flames vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.