Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Valley Wolverines
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a9e7fd0da22fe8f8b2b228251f770b21827da253564459a948afc04763f8aad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Valley Wolverinesof UT Arlington Mavericks, Utah Valley Wolverines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,171 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 0c | 19,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 23c | 6,367$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.79 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 78c | 5,372$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.57 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 24c | 2,718$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.77 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 77c | 1,954$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.2 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 79c | 1,137$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 8c | 799.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 21c | 626.34$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.53 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 80c | 442.04$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 79c | 399.97$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 21c | 394.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 77c | 376.69$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 78c | 346.94$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 21c | 299.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 3c | 292.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 75c | 275.52$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 25c | 239.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 76c | 235.52$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 75c | 225.73$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 8c | 213.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 79c | 209.75$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 64c | 205$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 22c | 198.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d7…66d3backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 17c | 175.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 26c | 128.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 22c | 118.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 80c | 109.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…c088backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 79c | 107.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…492ebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 20c | 99.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 16c | 93.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 19c | 89.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 23c | 88.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 67c | 84.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 79c | 68.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 22c | 46.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 78c | 29.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 75c | 29.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 80c | 25.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff37…1d94backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 78c | 24.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…6ccabacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 76c | 23.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 76c | 22.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 77c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesthis page
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-8.5)UT Arlington Mavericks won
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-9.5)UT Arlington Mavericks won
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 134.5Under won
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 136.5Under won
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 137.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.