TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf Pack

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nevada Wolf Packof Murray State Racers, Nevada Wolf Pack
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,660 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Nevada Wolf Pack80c13,074$10,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.6427450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Murray State Racers5c9,154$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.671225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Murray State Racers2c5,780$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Murray State Racers24c5,022$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.986331.7%20 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Murray State Racers22c4,274$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.229845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Murray State Racers20c3,742$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.2646446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Murray State Racers22c3,631$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.921,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Murray State Racers3c3,330$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Murray State Racers23c2,997$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.1574152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Murray State Racers22c2,934$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.572,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Nevada Wolf Pack78c2,452$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.435349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nevada Wolf Pack79c2,408$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.443,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Murray State Racers24c2,194$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.964,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nevada Wolf Pack80c1,896$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.535,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Murray State Racers16c1,879$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.961,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Murray State Racers22c1,386$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.381442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nevada Wolf Pack78c1,376$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.733554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Murray State Racers23c1,200$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27155532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Nevada Wolf Pack77c1,064$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.83050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Murray State Racers20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd48…d64fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack77c993.8$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Murray State Racers22c863.8$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.572,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Nevada Wolf Pack76c692.99$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.324353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Murray State Racers23c645.97$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5737142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Murray State Racers22c627.21$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9922043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef5a…a040backed Nevada Wolf Pack77c532.86$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.561421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-66.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Murray State Racers25c521.75$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1528539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Murray State Racers25c503.47$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.871,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Murray State Racers21c497.1$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3937246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88bd…c088backed Murray State Racers24c493.32$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.46347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Nevada Wolf Pack79c472.99$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3340755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Nevada Wolf Pack80c441.04$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2112045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Murray State Racers21c436$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5691848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Murray State Racers23c435.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.083333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Murray State Racers25c434.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0519147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Murray State Racers12c415.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.828757.5%50 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a4…5f6dbacked Murray State Racers25c402.4$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0673…0c27backed Murray State Racers23c400.2$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.053844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Murray State Racers17c399.4$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.842934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack76c389.73$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6413043.8%57 W · 73 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Nevada Wolf Pack76c316$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.849235.9%33 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Murray State Racers24c298.08$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.541,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Murray State Racers22c289.3$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6562140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Murray State Racers9c276.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2352843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Murray State Racers17c273.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.263938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Murray State Racers23c272.33$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.725829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd069…d068backed Murray State Racers18c221.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.79633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Murray State Racers23c218.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5629337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e74…6d51backed Murray State Racers24c207$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Nevada Wolf Pack75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509866.3%65 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack77c199.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4625438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Murray State Racers25c194.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.735338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Murray State Racers23c187.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8961446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Murray State Racers23c172.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7515238.8%59 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Nevada Wolf Pack77c168.95$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.867360.3%44 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Murray State Racers24c163.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5464647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Nevada Wolf Pack76c160.81$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Murray State Racers22c151.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2999045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4383…3d32backed Nevada Wolf Pack76c151.18$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Murray State Racers22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3324432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Murray State Racers8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Murray State Racers20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Murray State Racers18c142.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.71,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Nevada Wolf Pack77c139.13$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324060%24 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd5…ef34backed Nevada Wolf Pack76c137.67$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Murray State Racers24c129.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4939742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd667…dbcbbacked Murray State Racers22c121.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Murray State Racers22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2633445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc624…40babacked Nevada Wolf Pack76c113.63$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.27650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Murray State Racers22c104.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.641,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8393…4f91backed Murray State Racers16c103.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.661811.1%2 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-79.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Murray State Racers25c100.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Nevada Wolf Pack78c99.4$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8749157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Murray State Racers22c99.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.878444%37 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Murray State Racers25c89.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.187346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Murray State Racers23c84.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9482846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Murray State Racers23c79.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0913356.4%75 W · 58 L+10.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd43…ecfabacked Murray State Racers23c72.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Murray State Racers25c69.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.399845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Murray State Racers23c60.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.121,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Murray State Racers24c60.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.458543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b34…294cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Murray State Racers21c59.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.536630.3%20 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Murray State Racers24c58.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.745953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Murray State Racers24c57.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6933445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Nevada Wolf Pack77c56.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.031650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b5…56abbacked Murray State Racers19c54.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack78c53.31$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.739061.1%55 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Murray State Racers24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Murray State Racers23c47.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.934719.1%9 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-58.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd1d…fb83backed Murray State Racers23c47.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x106e…28e5backed Nevada Wolf Pack79c34.52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.222352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Nevada Wolf Pack77c33.56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.721770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack77c32.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4235646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2363…1ac3backed Nevada Wolf Pack78c31.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.893467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4125…23a9backed Nevada Wolf Pack78c24.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.425470.4%38 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae28…bb93backed Nevada Wolf Pack79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21283.3%10 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick78cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd231…8632backed Nevada Wolf Pack79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick78cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda4f…b51cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21080%8 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick78cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefd3…83d5backed Nevada Wolf Pack80c19.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.081172.7%8 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.