Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x784d35389b24c2ddc2e13eea9304329be626cd92327a6942956196613bef5950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nevada Wolf Packof Nevada Wolf Pack, Murray State Racers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,229 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Murray State Racers | 50c | 18,006$8,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,921.26 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 12,064$5,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,081.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Murray State Racers | 55c | 10,830$5,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,956.64 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 9,062$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505.8 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Murray State Racers | 53c | 6,714$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.51 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 6,635$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.94 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Murray State Racers | 52c | 5,148$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.07 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Murray State Racers | 51c | 5,068$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.87 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Murray State Racers | 51c | 2,527$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.63 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Murray State Racers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 51c | 1,993$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.33 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 51c | 1,987$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.57 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 1,893$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.35 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Murray State Racers | 55c | 1,684$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.34 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 1,517$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Murray State Racers | 52c | 1,479$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.93 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 1,429$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.23 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Murray State Racers | 53c | 1,015$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.7 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Murray State Racers | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Murray State Racers | 53c | 698.72$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.32 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 557.33$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.19 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Murray State Racers | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 482.04$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.6 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Murray State Racers | 55c | 450.61$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 447.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.95 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Murray State Racers | 53c | 370.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 292.93$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.15 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Murray State Racers | 54c | 234.9$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 228.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Murray State Racers | 52c | 225.24$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 45c | 222.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.14 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Murray State Racers | 49c | 218.08$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 216.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.82 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Murray State Racers | 55c | 215.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 51c | 202.79$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Murray State Racers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 51c | 179.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 177.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 168.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 141.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 135.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 98.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 52c | 96.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…a329backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 71c | 82.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Murray State Racers | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…db55backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 74.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Murray State Racers | 53c | 73.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Murray State Racers | 55c | 68.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 66.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 65.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 62.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 59.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…4f91backed Murray State Racers | 50c | 53.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Murray State Racers | 54c | 50.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Murray State Racers | 51c | 48.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Murray State Racers | 50c | 44.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 41.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Murray State Racers | 57c | 41.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Murray State Racers | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Murray State Racers | 51c | 38.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Murray State Racers | 51c | 38.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Murray State Racers | 51c | 38.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 36.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Murray State Racers | 53c | 33.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Murray State Racers | 53c | 33.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Murray State Racers | 55c | 29.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Murray State Racers | 53c | 29.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…cf99backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 27.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 25.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 51c | 25.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…23a9backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 24.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 22.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 51c | 21.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 72c | 20.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Murray State Racers | 51c | 20.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 78c | 13.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-8.5)this page
- Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf PackNevada Wolf Pack won
- Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 159.5Over won
- Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 160.5Over won
- Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 161.5Over won
- Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 162.5Over won
- Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-11.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-5.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-7.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.