NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Stars: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x433771266372a6ca1d857963292d8ad9a45e02921060449f072f790e34c0312d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,055 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb397…5e43backed Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d7…5ffabacked Under | 47c | 3,770$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 2,722$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.93 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 55c | 1,458$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.69 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 3c | 943.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 896.43$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.12 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 54c | 827$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.42 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 785$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.49 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 47c | 666.13$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 568.57$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.8 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 47c | 476.72$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.06 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 45c | 410$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 376.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.06 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 365.17$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.39 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58fb…1f65backed Over | 55c | 300.25$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 270.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 245.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 42c | 229.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…fcb5backed Under | 47c | 214.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9831…62dfbacked Over | 53c | 210.01$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 46c | 200.61$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a0…6ea4backed Under | 47c | 185.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…c244backed Over | 54c | 183.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 54c | 170.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955e…10c9backed Over | 54c | 162.48$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 60c | 159.53$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 54c | 158.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f9…5eccbacked Under | 47c | 157.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5670…4de9backed Over | 54c | 155.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…c863backed Under | 47c | 152.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 48c | 110.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…c088backed Over | 54c | 102.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 46c | 94.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…b960backed Under | 46c | 90.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 55c | 72.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Over | 54c | 68.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 62c | 59.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Under | 48c | 41.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 67c | 40.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…9e0bbacked Under | 48c | 38.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Over | 54c | 32.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…2bf4backed Under | 47c | 31.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Over | 71c | 30.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 57c | 29.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…7f96backed Over | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 38c | 29.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 55c | 27.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Over | 53c | 24.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 47c | 23.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Stars: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. StarsUtah won
- Utah vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Utah vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Utah vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.