NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25d6769ecf3999cb3b5e175a506d4b2d67fe0e71853972ff114a38a2942dbfb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Stars, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,666 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Utah | 64c | 90,509$58,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,349.47 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Stars | 36c | 40,253$14,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,491 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Stars | 36c | 32,614$11,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,740.92 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Stars | 35c | 21,361$7,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,476.43 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Utah | 64c | 14,000$8,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Stars | 36c | 4,845$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.24 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stars | 35c | 2,467$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.62 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Stars | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Stars | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Utah | 63c | 819.92$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.73 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Stars | 37c | 692$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.97 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Utah | 63c | 659.63$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.06 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Utah | 63c | 594.31$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.9 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Stars | 38c | 561.58$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Stars | 36c | 558$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Stars | 37c | 556.25$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.26 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Utah | 64c | 544$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.84 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Stars | 38c | 473.68$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Utah | 65c | 416.53$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.82 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Stars | 35c | 367.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.67 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Utah | 64c | 366.87$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Stars | 39c | 347.45$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58fb…1f65backed Stars | 36c | 327.47$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Utah | 62c | 263.32$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.06 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…9ae9backed Stars | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…c088backed Stars | 37c | 236.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Utah | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…6a54backed Utah | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed Stars | 37c | 167.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Utah | 62c | 160.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Stars | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Stars | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Stars | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Utah | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Stars | 37c | 112.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Stars | 36c | 109.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…6c84backed Utah | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Utah | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Utah | 68c | 108$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Utah | 64c | 106.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 61c | 105.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Utah | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d13…3303backed Utah | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Utah | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d5…a33bbacked Stars | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Stars | 35c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 35c | 81.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Utah | 64c | 79.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Stars | 33c | 79.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Stars | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 33c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Stars | 39c | 57.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked Stars | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Stars | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Utah | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…20e9backed Stars | 36c | 50.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Utah | 66c | 48.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Utah | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Stars | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Stars | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Utah | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Utah | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Stars | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stars | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Stars | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Stars | 37c | 27.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Utah | 66c | 27.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Utah | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Stars | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Utah | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Utah | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fc…1b1ebacked Utah | 63c | 18.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1097…43e8backed Utah | 64c | 17.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf770…afbfbacked Utah | 62c | 17.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62af…2795backed Utah | 63c | 17.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…cf3bbacked Utah | 64c | 16.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61df…97ffbacked Utah | 63c | 15.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Utah | 65c | 15.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Utah vs. StarsUtah won
- Utah vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Utah vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Utah vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Utah vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.