TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Utah, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,012,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,012,902 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 709 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Stars59c421,490$248,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248,633.4251550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf195…8057backed Utah41c414,767$170,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244,712.355352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Utah41c149,879$61,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,428.7319848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Stars59c68,000$40,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,12048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Stars59c66,498$39,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,221.6136748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Utah46c47,265$21,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,519.771,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Utah40c36,439$14,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,863.767051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Stars60c18,784$11,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,240.4640356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Stars61c14,072$8,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,587.7936648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Utah42c14,000$5,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,12022550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Stars59c14,000$8,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,259.9122747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Stars53c13,765$7,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,303.8527448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Utah41c13,000$5,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,67026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Utah41c12,500$5,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,37551045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Stars59c12,093$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,100.081,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Stars56c11,550$6,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,46851452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Stars60c10,970$6,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,58232151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Stars52c9,134$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,759.7175251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Utah41c8,302$3,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,892.8945751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Stars59c7,777$4,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,588.47949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Stars64c6,328$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.8158841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Stars59c6,000$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,54010145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Utah55c5,924$3,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.0589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Stars60c5,833$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Stars26c5,684$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.42,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stars60c5,541$3,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,323.921,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Utah41c5,323$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,163.8360337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Stars59c5,280$3,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,115.312,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Stars59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9601…06f5backed Utah41c4,400$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,596366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Stars59c4,158$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.313850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Stars39c4,127$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.376538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed Stars57c4,000$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Utah41c4,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.9639752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Stars62c3,576$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.216055%33 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah50c3,562$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.653,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…1039backed Stars59c3,400$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ab…99f9backed Stars59c3,400$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stars58c3,333$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,93391945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c6…75adbacked Stars18c3,300$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.340152.4%210 W · 191 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Stars36c3,275$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18534538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Utah77c3,271$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.228056.3%45 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Utah38c3,094$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.2583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab5b…316cbacked Stars60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Stars60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Utah40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9829146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Stars59c2,800$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65227850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stars37c2,514$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.092,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Utah43c2,504$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.3757157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Stars58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0338…04b7backed Stars60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars59c2,500$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4751,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Stars59c2,490$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.16656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Stars60c2,463$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Stars54c2,437$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.8432744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x436b…f430backed Utah41c2,400$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Utah41c2,300$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3574957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Utah37c2,280$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.414954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Stars59c2,278$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.2361950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Stars37c2,271$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.769442.6%40 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Utah65c2,167$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.4952172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Utah40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20061959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Utah40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Utah40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9730552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x210b…29b5backed Stars59c1,940$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.63452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Utah72c1,875$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.9914757.1%84 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah39c1,861$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.011,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stars14c1,756$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.3699638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Stars59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Utah36c1,670$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.892049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Stars60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Utah40c1,612$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.271,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Stars45c1,374$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.316550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Stars27c1,367$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3706833.8%23 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah64c1,348$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.651,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Utah36c1,344$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.881,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Stars59c1,225$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.8459450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Stars60c1,212$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7217149.3%35 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Stars59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70845749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Utah42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.4885250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x983e…c5cebacked Stars52c1,110$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.066142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Stars55c1,092$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59636948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Utah41c1,068$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.841,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Stars59c1,043$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.6786549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Stars59c1,015$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60029448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Utah41c1,010$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.962249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Stars59c1,008$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.1791653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Stars59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59054047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Stars64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64027445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Stars60c1,000$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59561748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Stars60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Utah40c999.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60012646.8%59 W · 67 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Stars36c998.25$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.433234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…0ef0backed Utah42c992.5$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.651266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+62.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah55c987.78$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.341,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Utah41c987.28$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.1843548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8865…ad52backed Utah42c959$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.221478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.34per pick44cpaid+84%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Stars58c950.85$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.6145955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Utah40c944.66$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.89157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.