Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84237ea16ed58135b148fe7d9bc7ddbc71917e99c0e9e822c08b031c67064ef0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah State Aggiesof Nevada Wolf Pack, Utah State Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,085 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Utah State Aggies | 72c | 1,099$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Utah State Aggies | 71c | 995.01$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.55 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 27c | 958.35$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.88 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 2c | 810.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 28c | 808.11$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.12 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 29c | 694.96$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.54 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah State Aggies | 73c | 579.29$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 28c | 536$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Utah State Aggies | 73c | 496.55$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 28c | 302.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 29c | 198.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 29c | 198.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 29c | 171.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…c088backed Utah State Aggies | 72c | 166.13$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 29c | 138.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 29c | 137.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Utah State Aggies | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 17c | 106.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 17c | 101.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Utah State Aggies | 74c | 99.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 19c | 79.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…32f1backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 28c | 70.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 28c | 66.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 27c | 58.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 18c | 56.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah State Aggies | 77c | 30.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Utah State Aggies | 72c | 20.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggiesthis page
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 136.5Over won
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-6.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-9.5)Utah State Aggies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.