TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UCLA Bruinsof UCLA Bruins, Michigan State Spartans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$202,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,302 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Michigan State Spartans13c18,534$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.281,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Michigan State Spartans37c14,539$5,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,412.8218954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked UCLA Bruins32c8,073$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,489.862540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed UCLA Bruins47c6,055$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,204.82,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UCLA Bruins64c5,761$3,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.875,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Michigan State Spartans16c3,736$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.8549345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Michigan State Spartans36c3,611$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.6731646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Michigan State Spartans32c2,541$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.6612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Michigan State Spartans33c2,531$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.012,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Michigan State Spartans49c2,511$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.165,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Michigan State Spartans33c2,010$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.361,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Michigan State Spartans36c1,677$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.7125130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UCLA Bruins67c1,563$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.193,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michigan State Spartans68c1,450$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9862,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Michigan State Spartans36c1,387$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.2114325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Michigan State Spartans13c1,331$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.494,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Michigan State Spartans38c1,315$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.75855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Michigan State Spartans68c1,111$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.472,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2442…0c2bbacked Michigan State Spartans68c1,022$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.6714051.4%72 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Michigan State Spartans42c951.53$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.753,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Michigan State Spartans39c949.83$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.9412749.6%63 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Michigan State Spartans5c882.11$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7834343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Michigan State Spartans37c777.72$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.919554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed UCLA Bruins30c724.98$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.496331.7%20 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked UCLA Bruins32c722.58$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.353135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked UCLA Bruins65c694.43$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.052965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Michigan State Spartans31c672.2$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.4315055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Michigan State Spartans37c665.84$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.95152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Michigan State Spartans37c654.99$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2210553.3%56 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Michigan State Spartans10c648.46$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.344766%31 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+38.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed UCLA Bruins63c643.66$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1510451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed UCLA Bruins70c615.42$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.223,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Michigan State Spartans32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19243450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed UCLA Bruins37c583.71$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.7414027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked UCLA Bruins61c579.14$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1226945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed UCLA Bruins68c517.37$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked UCLA Bruins31c499.98$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.9955532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UCLA Bruins66c498.38$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.24,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Michigan State Spartans69c497.44$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.237871.8%56 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked UCLA Bruins71c497.22$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0914151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x394c…158cbacked Michigan State Spartans69c496.26$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.42944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Michigan State Spartans68c468.93$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.871,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked UCLA Bruins32c465.18$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.321428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Michigan State Spartans19c430.47$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6214450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked UCLA Bruins49c378.29$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.935750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked UCLA Bruins48c375.22$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.1270349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Michigan State Spartans37c366.34$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3312227.9%34 W · 88 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Michigan State Spartans33c355.74$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.067655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Michigan State Spartans9c354.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9130152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Michigan State Spartans15c332.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked UCLA Bruins31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2071,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d48…eca0backed UCLA Bruins75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Michigan State Spartans69c297.75$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.458737.9%33 W · 54 L-12.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Michigan State Spartans69c277.9$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7539454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed UCLA Bruins31c252.08$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7525837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda31…8e56backed Michigan State Spartans41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.58138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa081…77e6backed Michigan State Spartans35c248.41$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.779454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked UCLA Bruins66c226.41$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5810638.7%41 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Michigan State Spartans11c224.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6184854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63ed…92bebacked Michigan State Spartans51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed UCLA Bruins31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13824737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked UCLA Bruins76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4825438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed UCLA Bruins77c198.75$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0527358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UCLA Bruins32c198.48$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.962,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x697a…d5aabacked Michigan State Spartans33c198.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.491118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Michigan State Spartans34c198.43$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.476357.1%36 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Michigan State Spartans53c188.15$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.431,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Michigan State Spartans53c187.13$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1323941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed UCLA Bruins56c186.57$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.091764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Michigan State Spartans40c160.63$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5393247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked UCLA Bruins32c157.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1113560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c10…a305backed Michigan State Spartans25c154.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.181060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Michigan State Spartans33c150.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.617350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed UCLA Bruins32c150$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10224432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Michigan State Spartans69c148.88$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.731241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Michigan State Spartans65c148.4$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.232152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed UCLA Bruins67c148.1$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8711136%40 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Michigan State Spartans26c146.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.072147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed UCLA Bruins32c142.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.171323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x641a…a144backed UCLA Bruins78c138.14$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.391566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed UCLA Bruins32c137.87$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.759341.9%39 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20a…9787backed Michigan State Spartans36c136.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.11450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed UCLA Bruins68c129.01$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.281040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Michigan State Spartans40c123.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.586446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Michigan State Spartans69c123.19$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Michigan State Spartans9c122.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4225829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Michigan State Spartans10c121.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.845343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…d7b5backed Michigan State Spartans32c115.12$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.841030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-51.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Michigan State Spartans68c113.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.382846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Michigan State Spartans68c110$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.89866.3%65 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed UCLA Bruins65c106.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8494036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Michigan State Spartans69c99.69$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.785269.2%36 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Michigan State Spartans35c99.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7216445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6946…8560backed Michigan State Spartans37c99.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked UCLA Bruins63c95.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1969350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Michigan State Spartans11c94.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.554231%13 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0b…44fdbacked Michigan State Spartans53c93.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.563231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff75…b615backed Michigan State Spartans27c91.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.833542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Michigan State Spartans30c88.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.511,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6e79…0658backed Michigan State Spartans43c81.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.712532%8 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.