TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc20a…9787

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.62
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48.81
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$48.47
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$48.38
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$49.81
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.43
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.36
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.45
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$87.79
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$84.33
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$84.33
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.5
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.45
Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$37.45
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$116.25
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.6
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$43.9
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$35.84
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.22
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$48.08
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.85
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.3
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.63
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$48.86
Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.93
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$128.83
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.89
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.11
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astrosbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.51
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$381.9
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.55
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.37
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.26
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.19
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$49.32
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-1.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$49.82
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$55.73
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.81
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$74.04
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$48.37
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.1
Spread: Florida Gators (-11.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$99.21
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-13.5)backed Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$98.65
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.27
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$50.04
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$50.04
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$99.63
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.26
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+273.2%+$135.22
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$63.25
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.38
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.7
Penguins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$106.04
Utah vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$65.76
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+59%+$13.35
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+210.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+521.1%+$432.63
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.