MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ffdbb7d3a5f7a1f35fe3f40cce8a0738d97f9d23a579fbd32d781458071a517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 14,510$6,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,919.71 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 13,682$7,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,559.27 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 12,758$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,412.81 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 20c | 12,534$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.59 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 7,328$3,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.98 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 3,200$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.22 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 3,042$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.77 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed St. Louis Cardinals | 4c | 3,006$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 2,826$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.15 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…b225backed St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 2,290$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,077$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.92 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,075$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.99 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,868$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…883abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 4c | 1,312$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 6c | 1,299$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 1,278$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.9 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 1,032$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.66 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 946.26$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…b0e1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20a…9787backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 812.55$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 812.51$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.61 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 731$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.86 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 700.01$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.1 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 610.37$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.98 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 588$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 554.57$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.65 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 552.08$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 484.16$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.56 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 475$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 467.25$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 462.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 458.06$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 419.76$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed St. Louis Cardinals | 22c | 362$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 301.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed St. Louis Cardinals | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 296$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 292.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.2 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 241$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.68 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 222.35$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdc…5defbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7ce9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…a69bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 199.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 194$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 194$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed St. Louis Cardinals | 22c | 176.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 166$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 156.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 10c | 150.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 149.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 144.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 140.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 138.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 133.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 124.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 117$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 105.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6863backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 102$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 100.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 99.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 99.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 20c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 95.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 82.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 80.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- NRFI: Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.