NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8efd3bf27f193f6aabd936817341cb430046b16d98a330e38c46c00862f444a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Flames, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $610,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $610,539 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 617 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flames | 16c | 138,517$21,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,659.98 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Capitals | 64c | 66,512$42,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,945.45 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Flames | 37c | 43,342$16,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,036.57 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Capitals | 62c | 37,484$23,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,243.79 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Flames | 36c | 29,397$10,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,582.97 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Flames | 38c | 28,869$10,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,970.28 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 63c | 15,823$10,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,779.13 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Capitals | 64c | 12,868$8,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,687.64 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Flames | 30c | 12,691$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861.44 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 63c | 11,111$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,111.11 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.98 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Flames | 37c | 9,000$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.81 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Flames | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.55 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Capitals | 63c | 7,143$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.86 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Capitals | 64c | 6,794$4,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.34 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Flames | 37c | 6,639$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Capitals | 62c | 6,320$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.69 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Flames | 36c | 5,963$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.53 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1f2bbacked Capitals | 64c | 5,500$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Flames | 25c | 5,412$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.51 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flames | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Flames | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.06 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Flames | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.85 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flames | 37c | 5,000$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.5 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 23c | 4,845$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.05 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Capitals | 62c | 4,444$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.59 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Capitals | 63c | 4,378$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.44 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 68c | 4,368$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.78 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Flames | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Capitals | 63c | 3,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.99 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Capitals | 63c | 3,200$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Capitals | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…37adbacked Flames | 36c | 2,900$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e9…2040backed Capitals | 64c | 2,900$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 34c | 2,891$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.21 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Capitals | 59c | 2,780$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.53 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf9…337ebacked Capitals | 64c | 2,694$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8a…5549backed Flames | 37c | 2,694$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Capitals | 63c | 2,686$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.01 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Flames | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Capitals | 63c | 2,397$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.83 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Capitals | 63c | 2,230$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.1 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…0c27backed Capitals | 63c | 2,228$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Capitals | 63c | 2,066$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.2 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Capitals | 63c | 2,020$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.62 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Capitals | 63c | 2,016$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.95 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Flames | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Capitals | 63c | 1,987$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.3 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 63c | 1,986$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.82 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…10f1backed Capitals | 63c | 1,933$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Capitals | 63c | 1,932$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.81 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 77c | 1,908$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.49 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flames | 36c | 1,891$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.56 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flames | 44c | 1,873$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.49 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flames | 36c | 1,853$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.04 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Capitals | 78c | 1,810$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Flames | 37c | 1,800$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.95 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 36c | 1,765$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.55 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Flames | 37c | 1,708$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.01 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Capitals | 64c | 1,692$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.3 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Flames | 33c | 1,522$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.6 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Capitals | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.13 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Flames | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Capitals | 80c | 1,426$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.06 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Capitals | 57c | 1,302$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked Capitals | 77c | 1,300$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Capitals | 63c | 1,299$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.72 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Capitals | 57c | 1,299$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.04 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flames | 36c | 1,294$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.78 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Flames | 38c | 1,111$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.41 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Flames | 19c | 1,090$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.46 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d022backed Flames | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Flames | 31c | 1,057$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.41 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Capitals | 63c | 1,032$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.22 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Capitals | 63c | 1,000$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Capitals | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Flames | 37c | 973.01$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Flames | 36c | 970.04$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.22 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Capitals | 63c | 956.26$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.82 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Capitals | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Flames | 36c | 915.36$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.75 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Flames | 37c | 900$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Capitals | 63c | 875$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 63c | 833.1$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.5 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Capitals | 63c | 827.42$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.63 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Capitals | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.14 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flames | 36c | 799.99$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flames | 40c | 751.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.37 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Capitals | 75c | 742.64$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.84 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Capitals | 63c | 700$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.36 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a87…1a2ebacked Capitals | 63c | 678.48$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Flames | 37c | 676.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Capitals | 63c | 671.09$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.69 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Flames | 37c | 657.9$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.9 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Flames | 37c | 625.58$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.47 | 529 | 46.9%248 W · 281 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Capitals | 65c | 615.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.91 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f5…f1d8backed Capitals | 63c | 601.59$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.94 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Capitalsthis page
- Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.