NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd41e123295afff7ad6a608b8bb04681b47373ed346568ba1fc60a59a477b60bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $401,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,152 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 43c | 355,184$152,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202,961.5 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 57c | 225,833$128,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,724.81 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 57c | 61,848$35,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,303.58 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 58c | 45,000$26,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,100 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 41c | 5,281$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.94 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 59c | 4,547$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.07 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 42c | 2,679$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.8 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 2,670$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.78 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…d503backed Under | 2c | 2,079$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Over | 42c | 1,895$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.22 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 57c | 1,824$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.54 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 59c | 1,625$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.6 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 58c | 1,533$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.37 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 59c | 1,521$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.39 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Under | 59c | 1,468$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.11 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 59c | 1,443$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.1 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Under | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 58c | 1,121$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.18 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 58c | 1,012$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.96 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 40c | 875$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under | 59c | 872.71$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.9 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Under | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 57c | 700.04$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.69 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 59c | 629$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.41 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Under | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Under | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 41c | 585.37$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.37 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 41c | 529.97$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.68 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 59c | 526.32$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.53 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Under | 59c | 469.46$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 321 | 55.5%178 W · 143 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 60c | 446.05$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 331 | 54.1%179 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 57c | 433.75$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.29 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Under | 46c | 373.09$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Under | 58c | 355.94$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 58c | 338.74$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.47 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Under | 59c | 337.17$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 60c | 334.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 57c | 334$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.39 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Under | 42c | 326.69$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 40c | 271.88$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.44 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Under | 59c | 244.06$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 59c | 227.43$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Under | 59c | 227.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 243 | 52.3%127 W · 116 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 59c | 225.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.24 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…f9e3backed Under | 59c | 218.17$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Under | 59c | 211.45$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Under | 59c | 197.54$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…98c0backed Under | 16c | 193.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Under | 59c | 188.42$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 185.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Over | 42c | 183.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 40c | 180.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Over | 42c | 172.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 73c | 153.72$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 57c | 149.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 60c | 142.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 43c | 135.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Under | 75c | 133.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6a…3b9bbacked Under | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 59c | 125.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 59c | 121$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 120.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 66c | 116.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Under | 59c | 113.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f5…5c6cbacked Under | 59c | 105$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…65c3backed Under | 59c | 105$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…51adbacked Under | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Under | 59c | 99.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 86.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5079…0f50backed Under | 58c | 85.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 50.2%143 W · 142 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…0e74backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…268cbacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -7.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Over | 44c | 82.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…415abacked Under | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.9wins | -0.49per pick | 59cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Under | 58c | 80.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 56c | 74.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Under | 59c | 69.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Under | 59c | 67.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…b68dbacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Over | 41c | 56.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7649…a58dbacked Under | 59c | 55.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 52c | 54.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5this page
- Flames vs. CapitalsCapitals won
- Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.