TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x02f5…5c6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT6753.7%36 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.67
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.74
Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$21.98
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$75.66
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$62.57
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.44
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$33.91
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$35.47
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.95
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$18.17
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.01
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.9
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$32.04
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$41.07
Spread: Suns (-1.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.74
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$39.81
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$57.24
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.46
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+100%+$39
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Spread: Flames (-1.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.28
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.28
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$30.14
Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.62
Flames vs. Red Wingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$62.56
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$34.92
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.44
Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.95
Hurricanes vs. Flamesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.83
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$35.28
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32.43
Lightning vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.36
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+50.5%+$6.12
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+116.4%+$38.25
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Blues vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+93.8%+$24.39
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$27.42
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$30.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-51.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-5.5)backed Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+108.3%+$18.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.