TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Hurricanes, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$484,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,501 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Hurricanes34c464,966$157,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157,780.7319848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Blue Jackets66c200,048$132,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,016.8840351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets66c200,000$132,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,0001,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Blue Jackets67c19,130$12,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,313.046657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Blue Jackets66c14,230$9,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,838.2359450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Blue Jackets66c13,804$9,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,685.9351550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Blue Jackets66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blue Jackets66c1,988$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.922,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Blue Jackets67c1,576$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.0826551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Hurricanes34c1,492$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.2636648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x852f…3aaebacked Hurricanes2c1,426$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.524540%18 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Blue Jackets67c1,315$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.8451452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jackets67c1,210$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.361959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Blue Jackets69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31020552.2%107 W · 98 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Blue Jackets69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3103357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Hurricanes33c920.21$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003969.2%27 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Blue Jackets67c807.46$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.4633950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Blue Jackets66c795$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.383149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Blue Jackets73c651.62$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.624755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes18c533.7$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.563,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Blue Jackets66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Hurricanes34c497.31$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3440340.9%165 W · 238 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jackets64c492.19$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.191,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hurricanes33c464.72$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3691653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed Blue Jackets67c450$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.52934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-35.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9737…09c1backed Blue Jackets67c450$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.53655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Hurricanes34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Blue Jackets67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13236852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Blue Jackets67c394.03$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0312058.3%70 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Blue Jackets67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9917458%101 W · 73 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Blue Jackets67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.512965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8651…6716backed Hurricanes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Blue Jackets68c246.3$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8213336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Hurricanes33c217.12$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9618344.8%82 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Blue Jackets66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6820857.7%120 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Blue Jackets66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6811250%56 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Blue Jackets67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5dd8…f9e3backed Blue Jackets67c197.01$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.018354.2%45 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Blue Jackets67c196.33$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7918551.9%96 W · 89 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Blue Jackets69c196$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.761963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Blue Jackets73c166$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.528753.3%153 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666f…9860backed Blue Jackets67c165$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.459655.2%53 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe63d…0545backed Blue Jackets67c157.69$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Blue Jackets67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2549053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Blue Jackets67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2521849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Blue Jackets69c147.77$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5138551.4%198 W · 187 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jackets66c140.79$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.872,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Blue Jackets66c133.22$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.162,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Blue Jackets67c132.94$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8711656%65 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Hurricanes32c131.51$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0862346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Blue Jackets67c131$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2384953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hurricanes15c122.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5547024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Blue Jackets77c121.15$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1524352.3%127 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Blue Jackets67c119.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.481157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Blue Jackets67c118$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9414853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Blue Jackets67c114.15$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.677950.6%40 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Hurricanes34c113$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7486852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Hurricanes32c110.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4825337.9%96 W · 157 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Blue Jackets77c107.24$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2433154.1%179 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe23…5d53backed Blue Jackets67c103.66$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.211457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Blue Jackets68c102.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9417759.9%106 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Blue Jackets68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3221560.9%131 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Blue Jackets66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3422352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Hurricanes31c98.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.097352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Blue Jackets67c95.52$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5248157.2%275 W · 206 L+21.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02f5…5c6cbacked Blue Jackets67c91.34$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.142737%10 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb0a4…65c3backed Blue Jackets67c91.34$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1411450%57 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Blue Jackets67c90$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.78749.4%43 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Hurricanes31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.834949.9%174 W · 175 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Blue Jackets67c78$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.749563.2%60 W · 35 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Hurricanes19c76.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6465721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Blue Jackets67c75.76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253953.8%21 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Blue Jackets68c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2454260.3%327 W · 215 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Blue Jackets67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6328550.2%143 W · 142 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked Blue Jackets67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.634656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbba5…7df2backed Blue Jackets67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Blue Jackets67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.633655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Blue Jackets67c74.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6278651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Blue Jackets67c69.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9829448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Hurricanes15c69.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4723450%117 W · 117 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5939…4701backed Hurricanes32c63.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.241233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Blue Jackets67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.86749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc516…7f3abacked Blue Jackets68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.828063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Blue Jackets69c56.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5240162.1%249 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Hurricanes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054049.4%267 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Hurricanes32c55.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7412844.5%57 W · 71 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Hurricanes32c52.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7814037.9%53 W · 87 L-13.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Blue Jackets67c49.85$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4511955.5%66 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8011…fc8dbacked Hurricanes34c48.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7133…69d6backed Blue Jackets67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.857055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116b…0930backed Blue Jackets67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d94…954ebacked Blue Jackets67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.782045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x007f…fb6cbacked Hurricanes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153450%17 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Blue Jackets65c43.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5538147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b5c…4568backed Blue Jackets69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.482766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x851d…a743backed Blue Jackets67c41.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.552462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Blue Jackets67c39.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Blue Jackets77c37.48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4829052.4%152 W · 138 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e7…5d77backed Blue Jackets67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.312263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Blue Jackets69c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1618949.2%93 W · 96 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.