TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5939…4701

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT3330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.88
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+158.2%+$30.21
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.69
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.58
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.24
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.47
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.09
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.09
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.36
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.87
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.22
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.04
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.44
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.15
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+168.2%+$67.05
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Trail Blazers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.47
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+147%+$59.27
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.29
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.79
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.04
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.29
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.13
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$175.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.48
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.91
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.3
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-74.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.04
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.53
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.95
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.37
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.16
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+229%+$48.55
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.56
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-70.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.74
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.93
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.08
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.8
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$24.12
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.18
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.72
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.64
Panthers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+138.5%+$52.85
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.46
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.34
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.61
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.25
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.25
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$78.04
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.2
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.75
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.59
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.89
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$42.48
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$109.86
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.13
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.65
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.52
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.06
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-64.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.44
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$7.05
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+227.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+555.5%+$299.15
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.58
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$35.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.03
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.15
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.61
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$42.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.