NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Bucks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3044300c59c69132d2b479abe1413cc7a0f846beedd7381ed55860310310193f

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Bucks
Resolved: Mar 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,603,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,603,174 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 674 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Bucks	17c	293,900$49,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,963.08	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Bucks	0c	70,822$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.46	169	19.5%33 W · 136 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks	14c	42,341$5,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,997.99	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers	78c	40,479$31,506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,972.49	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks	21c	35,188$7,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,379.22	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Cavaliers	79c	32,790$26,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,767.38	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Bucks	0c	32,000$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.34	74	12.2%9 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bucks	15c	30,950$4,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,601.55	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Bucks	20c	24,648$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks	24c	24,632$5,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,877.74	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks	0c	24,000$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Cavaliers	74c	20,198$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,198.07	109	52.3%57 W · 52 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Bucks	14c	20,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,799.99	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bucks	17c	19,269$3,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,277.16	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Bucks	31c	17,078$5,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,303.72	96	29.2%28 W · 68 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Bucks	18c	16,559$3,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,031.03	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf54e…0950backed Bucks	20c	15,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.19per pick	55cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf2c…097cbacked Cavaliers	80c	15,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	31	77.4%24 W · 7 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	67cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bucks	21c	14,618$3,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,092.96	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers	73c	12,389$9,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,372.96	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Bucks	17c	12,100$2,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,057	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Bucks	18c	12,000$2,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,175	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bucks	0c	11,798$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.88	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Bucks	21c	11,000$2,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,310	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bucks	20c	9,605$1,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,955.88	164	40.9%67 W · 97 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bucks	14c	9,577$1,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,326.06	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Bucks	18c	9,500$1,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,730	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks	0c	9,290$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.95	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bucks	29c	8,763$2,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,507.42	263	53.6%141 W · 122 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Bucks	1c	8,704$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.08	35	20%7 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers	76c	8,264$6,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,947.07	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Bucks	33c	8,050$2,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,670.57	107	43%46 W · 61 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Bucks	0c	7,904$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.21	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Bucks	14c	7,825$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,121.66	196	50.5%99 W · 97 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Bucks	20c	7,770$1,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,518.07	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	77c	7,642$5,886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,756.02	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Cavaliers	67c	7,489$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,489.04	527	60%316 W · 211 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Bucks	17c	7,439$1,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,269.32	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks	17c	7,272$1,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,268.92	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Bucks	18c	7,000$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Bucks	16c	6,843$1,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,114.17	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Bucks	21c	6,618$1,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,412.62	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Bucks	16c	6,479$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.67	248	41.1%102 W · 146 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks	0c	6,466$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.87	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucks	22c	6,432$1,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,428.95	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd1…e532backed Cavaliers	77c	6,246$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,445.55	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks	17c	6,155$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.37	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd937…d226backed Bucks	16c	6,023$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963.68	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	31cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Bucks	16c	5,949$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$951.86	230	52.6%121 W · 109 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976e…ecf3backed Bucks	13c	5,819$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.05	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Bucks	17c	5,600$926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$926	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Bucks	16c	5,349$856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$855.78	176	46%81 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2170…dc18backed Bucks	1c	5,313$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers	78c	5,121$3,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.7	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Bucks	32c	5,069$1,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,601.78	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Bucks	20c	5,001$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.23	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd51…7a50backed Bucks	18c	5,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Bucks	19c	5,000$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.99	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Bucks	11c	4,983$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bucks	23c	4,897$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,116.06	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1deb…472fbacked Bucks	27c	4,853$1,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,303.77	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Bucks	24c	4,259$1,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,042.58	423	35.9%152 W · 271 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Bucks	16c	4,132$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661.17	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Bucks	22c	4,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Bucks	21c	4,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	125	24.8%31 W · 94 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Cavaliers	79c	4,000$3,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Cavaliers	79c	3,926$3,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$824.46	272	47.1%128 W · 144 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Bucks	8c	3,923$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.66	65	32.3%21 W · 44 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Bucks	27c	3,704$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	147	66%97 W · 50 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Bucks	17c	3,703$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.45	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fb…33dfbacked Bucks	20c	3,633$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.6	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b0…1019backed Cavaliers	80c	3,516$2,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703.2	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ae…a5e8backed Bucks	20c	3,456$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.2	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers	79c	3,267$2,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$695.72	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Cavaliers	72c	3,214$2,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.85	224	57.1%128 W · 96 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Bucks	26c	3,015$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770	367	18.5%68 W · 299 L	-36.8wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-38%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Cavaliers	78c	2,996$2,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.08	237	47.7%113 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Bucks	12c	2,989$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.22	295	47.5%140 W · 155 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Bucks	16c	2,835$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.57	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Bucks	18c	2,778$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	172	46.5%80 W · 92 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05dc…967ebacked Bucks	11c	2,750$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.75	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks	18c	2,698$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.11	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Bucks	15c	2,611$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.6	102	25.5%26 W · 76 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Bucks	16c	2,500$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Bucks	19c	2,434$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.83	323	30.7%99 W · 224 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Bucks	21c	2,422$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Bucks	29c	2,399$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.64	502	39%196 W · 306 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Bucks	4c	2,368$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.75	146	28.1%41 W · 105 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Bucks	24c	2,364$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.4	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Bucks	21c	2,337$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.85	381	43%164 W · 217 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Bucks	17c	2,205$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.78	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c1…b52abacked Bucks	2c	2,099$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.23	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Cavaliers	78c	2,054$1,603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.85	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Bucks	30c	2,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Cavaliers	76c	2,000$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Bucks	16c	1,932$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.09	161	46%74 W · 87 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Bucks	30c	1,839$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.04	163	35.6%58 W · 105 L	-12.2wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd839…8fc8backed Bucks	22c	1,838$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bucks	16c	1,749$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.88	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48c9…d019backed Bucks	12c	1,744$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.27	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Bucksthis page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Bucks won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 27.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Myles Turner: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Bucks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Bucks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Bucks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Bucks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Bucks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Bucks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event