TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,959 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under53c22,566$11,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,959.7224744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c17,449$8,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,109.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c14,017$6,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,428.884,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under53c7,276$3,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.0131644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Under53c6,420$3,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,402.69629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c5,917$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032.924,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bee…0ca9backed Over49c3,151$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.012454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under54c2,735$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.912,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c2,609$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.632,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c2,529$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.382,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under54c2,061$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.5764651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c1,955$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c1,808$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.63,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c1,790$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.811,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c1,733$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.916,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over54c1,500$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.0791050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c1,222$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.623,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over45c1,021$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.7983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c930.8$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.022,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c791.18$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over47c710$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.334851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over52c634.99$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.8721443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Over53c630$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.111957.1%68 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over47c520$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.442,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under51c455.42$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.462,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over49c422.31$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21018242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2de2…7041backed Under47c410$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Under17c399.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6642845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c326.6$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.993,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under49c323.09$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0642153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x515f…7e7fbacked Over49c305.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.834639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under52c290.1$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c236.9$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.433,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33aa…dc26backed Over54c220$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83fe…23d9backed Over53c216$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.525036%18 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c205.12$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.544,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fc…7cc1backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9214471.5%103 W · 41 L+22.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over48c196.17$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0122154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe45…0c39backed Over54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+85.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c181.66$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.175,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c156.38$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.932,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under56c150.79$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.973,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Over54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6917148%82 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under51c148.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.591,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf153…0504backed Over49c147.97$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.971428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under49c142.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8539943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under50c131.03$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9316642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under41c100.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6351438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4955533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under55c99.92$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.825138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under47c88.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under49c84.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.391,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a9…f98ebacked Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf12…cbd9backed Under54c69.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.793842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Under34c69.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.515733.3%19 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under49c64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.369845.9%45 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over52c57.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.792,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Over47c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6811843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.553339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9685…718ebacked Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+46.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510462.5%65 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over53c49.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4916141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Under38c49.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.675259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Under53c48.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3410144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over48c47.79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9652053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over48c47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4429352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4514253.5%76 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.44645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over50c34.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2565542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over47c33.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8911845.8%54 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over52c30.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6996956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfb2…c37cbacked Under43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.97550.7%38 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked Under53c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3512949.6%64 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Over48c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2318261%111 W · 71 L+16.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a5c…1d38backed Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…642dbacked Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154139%16 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over48c27.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0854854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd2…cf0bbacked Under41c26.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.681723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-53.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over50c25.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9987744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.851,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Over49c23.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1121049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.