NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x606a13d13cb72991c6554006f8c6ad2d9f22d8982848bf4b50995846cd01bb66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,959 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 53c | 22,566$11,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,959.72 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 17,449$8,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,109.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 14,017$6,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,428.88 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 53c | 7,276$3,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.01 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Under | 53c | 6,420$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.6 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 5,917$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.92 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…0ca9backed Over | 49c | 3,151$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.01 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 2,735$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.91 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 2,609$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.63 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 2,529$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.38 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 54c | 2,061$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.57 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 1,955$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 1,808$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.6 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 1,790$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.81 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 1,733$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 54c | 1,500$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.07 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 1,222$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.62 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 45c | 1,021$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.79 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 930.8$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.02 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 791.18$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.63 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 47c | 710$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.3 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 52c | 634.99$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.87 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Over | 53c | 630$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 47c | 520$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.44 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 455.42$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.46 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 49c | 422.31$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.93 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…7041backed Under | 47c | 410$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Under | 17c | 399.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 326.6$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 49c | 323.09$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…7e7fbacked Over | 49c | 305.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.83 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 52c | 290.1$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 236.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33aa…dc26backed Over | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Over | 53c | 216$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 205.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 48c | 196.17$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe45…0c39backed Over | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 181.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 156.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 56c | 150.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 51c | 148.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf153…0504backed Over | 49c | 147.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 49c | 142.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 50c | 131.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 41c | 100.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 55c | 99.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 47c | 88.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 49c | 84.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…f98ebacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf12…cbd9backed Under | 54c | 69.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Under | 34c | 69.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Under | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 57.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Over | 47c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9685…718ebacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 53c | 49.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Under | 38c | 49.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 53c | 48.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 48c | 47.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 48c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 50c | 34.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 47c | 33.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 52c | 30.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…c37cbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked Under | 53c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…1d38backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…cf0bbacked Under | 41c | 26.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 50c | 25.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Over | 49c | 23.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Bucks won
- Cavaliers vs. BucksCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.