NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x904bb058a2c8f07f810a55fc9aa4d30e4cf812dc8b86065cecbef50ddca139cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,758 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Under | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 25,000$12,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,425.69 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 13,535$6,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,790.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 6,997$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 4,795$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.68 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 4,442$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.01 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 4,105$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 3,241$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.17 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 2,171$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.31 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 50c | 2,102$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.04 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 1,815$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.65 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.84 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 1,596$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.76 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 51c | 1,284$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.84 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 51c | 1,269$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 1,211$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 48c | 834.26$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.81 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…7e7fbacked Over | 50c | 784.82$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.41 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 773.3$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 705.11$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.61 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…0ca9backed Over | 49c | 485$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.35 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 51c | 484.84$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.9 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 47c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 51c | 388.03$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.59 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Under | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Over | 56c | 303$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Under | 51c | 246.46$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Under | 51c | 246.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Under | 51c | 246.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Under | 51c | 245.81$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 49c | 226.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 50c | 199.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Over | 49c | 192.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 192.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 52c | 179.61$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 168.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 48c | 168.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 44c | 155.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…531bbacked Over | 50c | 153.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Over | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 48c | 137.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 51c | 136.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca32…47f0backed Under | 51c | 135.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 55c | 106.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed Over | 51c | 96.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f9…6d23backed Under | 56c | 89.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 57c | 85.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…4b6abacked Under | 51c | 82.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 51c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…ce56backed Under | 50c | 74.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 71.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 71.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…882abacked Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8b…6119backed Under | 50c | 69.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 53c | 58.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9685…718ebacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 49c | 49.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…0a05backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…ec19backed Under | 53c | 46.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 50c | 45.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Over | 51c | 45.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 43c | 45.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 52c | 42.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 50c | 38.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…023abacked Under | 51c | 36.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Under | 43c | 32.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…5c81backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Under | 64c | 28.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 24.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 52c | 22.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…8fe6backed Under | 52c | 22.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…bcbdbacked Under | 50c | 21.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Bucks won
- Cavaliers vs. BucksCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.