NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b62c9f29c1179dde4af65547cde72263e8fe6c752c805b216913cc9a1947473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,630 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 8,500$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,165.09 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 7,564$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 6,199$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 52c | 5,591$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.54 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 45c | 5,452$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.41 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 51c | 5,022$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.57 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 3,332$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 3,222$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Under | 55c | 2,601$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.55 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 2,003$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.87 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 43c | 1,821$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.44 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 51c | 1,274$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.26 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 1,250$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…bac1backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 56c | 1,168$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.93 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 51c | 1,150$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.5 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,146$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.91 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 64c | 1,134$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.44 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 1,003$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.77 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 51c | 981.96$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.16 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 51c | 897.65$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.85 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 817.04$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.34 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 55c | 755.83$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.71 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 678$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.68 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 665.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.17 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 616$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.19 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 50c | 520.01$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.11 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 486.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 471.89$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.54 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…563fbacked Over | 46c | 456.52$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.52 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 46c | 420$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 46c | 290.15$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…afacbacked Over | 51c | 280.39$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 279.52$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 195.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 187.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 54c | 185.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Over | 49c | 183.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 180.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 54c | 176.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 50c | 175.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 54c | 150.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 46c | 149$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 46c | 143.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 126.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 48c | 117$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 59c | 116.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Under | 57c | 110.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 41c | 91.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 56c | 88.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 61c | 73.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Over | 46c | 66.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 46c | 66.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Under | 34c | 52.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9685…718ebacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 49c | 42.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 49c | 41.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 51c | 38.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 49c | 38.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…0f1fbacked Under | 51c | 37.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31f9…6d23backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3554…d602backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Over | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 29.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7d08backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 47c | 28.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Under | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Over | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf29…6870backed Under | 50c | 25.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 54c | 24.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 51c | 24.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 23.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…6763backed Under | 50c | 22.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -14.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 53c | 19.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Bucks won
- Cavaliers vs. BucksCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.