TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,630 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c8,500$4,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,165.091,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c7,564$3,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,911.289,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c6,199$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under52c5,591$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.548153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over45c5,452$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,998.4140350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Over51c5,022$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.5712151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c3,332$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c3,222$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.578,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Under55c2,601$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.5513946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c2,003$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.872,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over43c1,821$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.442,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over51c1,274$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.2658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under55c1,250$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.144,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…bac1backed Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under56c1,168$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.931,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Over51c1,150$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.59346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c1,146$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.915,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under64c1,134$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.4419650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c1,003$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.774,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over51c981.96$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.1631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over51c897.65$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.8517850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c817.04$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.342,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under55c755.83$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.712,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over44c678$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.681,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c665.99$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.175,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c616$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.191,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under50c520.01$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.1142153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c486.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under55c471.89$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.543,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe702…563fbacked Over46c456.52$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.523636.1%13 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Over46c420$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.816849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over46c290.15$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.682,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe170…afacbacked Over51c280.39$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.391855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c279.52$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1373,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9623435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c195.45$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.733,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c187.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.662,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c185.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Over49c183.78$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.78837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c180.42$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2195047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Under54c176.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8610144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under50c175.09$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8351438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under54c150.14$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over46c149$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4654747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over46c143.13$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1521443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c126.76$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.282,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over48c117$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8462541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under59c116.28$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6120350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5142…ee20backed Under57c110.04$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.175354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over41c91.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.641,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under54c90$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.625138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under56c88.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under61c73.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.91,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Over46c66.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7511748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over46c66.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over45c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.862049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1a…8984backed Under34c52.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.785540%22 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9685…718ebacked Over44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+46.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0457650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.232747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Over45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.227345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.232947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over49c42.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4355347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over49c41.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3160945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x461b…30ddbacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.220144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Over46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.64645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.445544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over47c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6723651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under51c38.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6320847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over49c38.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4837842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d1…0f1fbacked Under51c37.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.321283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+55.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x31f9…6d23backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3554…d602backed Under50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83fe…23d9backed Over51c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.685036%18 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.787950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c29.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.032,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4112257.4%70 W · 52 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over47c28.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2991746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Under52c28.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515144.4%67 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…642dbacked Under55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154139%16 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ff2…cf14backed Over49c25.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.014459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf29…6870backed Under50c25.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.553946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under54c24.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.523,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over51c24.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.031,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under55c23.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.176,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b8…6763backed Under50c22.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.061020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-58.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108328.9%24 W · 59 L-14.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over53c19.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2511826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.