NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa78965d39b07e62076f256ab805658da6c3cac22fb348a0650ddc07c522ca2f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Cavaliers, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Cavaliers | 57c | 25,421$14,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,482.08 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Bucks | 48c | 20,800$9,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,859.36 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Cavaliers | 52c | 17,885$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300.4 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Bucks | 43c | 8,663$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,937.91 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…3191backed Bucks | 51c | 7,900$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.99 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Bucks | 43c | 6,992$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,985.44 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 53c | 5,847$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.46 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 50c | 5,214$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Cavaliers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 4,845$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.52 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 45c | 4,727$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.96 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Bucks | 43c | 4,209$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.18 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 4,071$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.73 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 4,029$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Bucks | 43c | 3,855$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.52 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 2,919$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 42c | 2,612$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.9 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,933$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.74 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Cavaliers | 58c | 1,915$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.62 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cavaliers | 57c | 1,890$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.3 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Bucks | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.13 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 47c | 1,662$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.67 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,484$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.28 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,413$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Bucks | 47c | 1,340$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.2 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,274$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,196$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.94 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,080$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.9 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Cavaliers | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,013$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.37 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Bucks | 53c | 944.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.04 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Bucks | 43c | 915$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.55 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…328ebacked Bucks | 52c | 892.79$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.52 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Bucks | 43c | 767.44$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.44 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 728.45$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.94 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bucks | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Bucks | 46c | 697$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.49 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Bucks | 43c | 694$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.58 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Bucks | 42c | 662.07$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Cavaliers | 58c | 616.74$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.54 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 51c | 582.13$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Cavaliers | 53c | 566$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Bucks | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Bucks | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 45c | 465.11$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.74 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 448$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.56 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Cavaliers | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Bucks | 43c | 409.3$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.3 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…9d13backed Bucks | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Cavaliers | 58c | 344.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Bucks | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Bucks | 53c | 303.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.42 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers | 43c | 291.82$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Bucks | 45c | 276.88$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.48 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…53d7backed Bucks | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Bucks | 45c | 263$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.66 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…e373backed Bucks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cavaliers | 48c | 217.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Bucks | 48c | 208.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5137backed Bucks | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…592cbacked Bucks | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Cavaliers | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Cavaliers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 192.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…3b16backed Cavaliers | 49c | 192$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…036ebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 188$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…b731backed Cavaliers | 48c | 176$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 176$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Cavaliers | 56c | 164.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Cavaliers | 45c | 162.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Bucks | 54c | 159.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Bucks | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Bucks | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Cavaliers | 56c | 145.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Bucks | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…a54bbacked Bucks | 52c | 126$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Bucks | 42c | 122.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed Bucks | 43c | 113.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Bucks | 54c | 108.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 108.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cavaliers | 57c | 101.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Bucks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Bucks | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks | 53c | 98.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Bucks | 46c | 97.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…dd23backed Bucks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…65b5backed Bucks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 52c | 89.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab4…6ac3backed Bucks | 51c | 87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Bucks | 47c | 84.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…88f7backed Bucks | 52c | 81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf5…900abacked Bucks | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaf…baefbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 77.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Bucks | 48c | 77.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…1fbfbacked Bucks | 71c | 73.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…7caebacked Bucks | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Cavaliers | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Bucks won
- Cavaliers vs. BucksCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.