TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd0e6…65b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3171%22 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.65
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$27.5
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.8
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$354
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$396
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37%+$86.4
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$136.01
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$396
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.4
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,669Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+547.3%+$9,135.41
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$975
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$61
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$50.5
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,194.66
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$461.74
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$17.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.