Fifa International · resolved market
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28c19c840bd010dc279a8f14a417a9389c18801b271b407d7634425e8305de0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,295,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,925,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,295,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 0c | 530,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Yes | 24c | 406,250$97,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,500 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 76c | 178,763$135,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,085.25 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 142,621$18,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,459.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked No | 76c | 120,705$91,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,969.13 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 24c | 100,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…89b1backed Yes | 24c | 100,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.92 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed No | 76c | 76,171$57,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,281.11 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 0c | 71,448$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 78c | 71,075$55,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,577.91 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 76c | 66,300$50,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,912 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Yes | 7c | 63,249$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.43 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 76c | 62,549$47,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,011.76 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 23c | 56,374$12,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,966.09 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b6…347ebacked Yes | 9c | 50,340$4,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,626.19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 76c | 44,999$34,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.83 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 2c | 38,571$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 18c | 32,891$5,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,913 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 29,103$22,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,984.75 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 5c | 28,017$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.29 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 3c | 24,791$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.15 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 76c | 22,222$16,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.28 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 77c | 20,515$15,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,673.02 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 4c | 19,999$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 1c | 19,441$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.11 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed No | 76c | 18,732$14,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,495.74 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…4aacbacked Yes | 8c | 18,379$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 1c | 17,778$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.17 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c73…6ee3backed Yes | 24c | 17,036$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.66 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9103…0724backed Yes | 6c | 16,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…b06abacked Yes | 6c | 16,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 16,271$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.22 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4550…f741backed Yes | 16c | 15,481$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 24c | 14,703$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.69 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4718…e2e8backed Yes | 7c | 14,286$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 75c | 14,020$10,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.77 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…79fbbacked Yes | 5c | 13,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 24c | 13,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5910…b0d6backed Yes | 12c | 12,617$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 76c | 12,540$9,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.59 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 76c | 12,500$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 1c | 12,149$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 2c | 10,968$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe195…15aebacked Yes | 1c | 10,800$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda19…c13bbacked Yes | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.95 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed Yes | 7c | 9,645$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 7c | 8,954$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.29 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x295e…75ddbacked Yes | 2c | 8,744$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.7 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 7c | 8,571$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 76c | 8,460$6,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.4 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Yes | 24c | 8,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 76c | 8,000$6,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Yes | 4c | 6,676$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.87 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…2b5ebacked Yes | 6c | 6,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 7c | 6,657$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…30fcbacked Yes | 4c | 6,647$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 220 | 32.3%71 W · 149 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 76c | 6,516$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.73 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 3c | 6,320$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 5c | 6,300$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 76c | 6,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.97 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 15c | 5,911$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.39 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 76c | 5,900$4,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.95 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 76c | 5,801$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.22 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 76c | 5,801$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.16 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 1c | 5,793$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed No | 76c | 5,725$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed No | 77c | 5,632$4,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.44 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…fad8backed Yes | 24c | 5,560$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 5,350$4,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.99 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cd…6a61backed No | 77c | 5,077$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.61 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…8772backed Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…a05ebacked Yes | 11c | 5,000$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.66 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3c01backed Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Yes | 1c | 4,994$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 8c | 4,880$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.99 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 76c | 4,605$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.2 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Yes | 6c | 4,583$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…1e01backed No | 77c | 4,545$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.45 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 1c | 4,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4362…9e47backed Yes | 7c | 4,485$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 24c | 4,458$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 76c | 4,288$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.01 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8135…24fdbacked Yes | 7c | 4,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 76c | 4,268$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.28 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed No | 76c | 4,201$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.18 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…c543backed Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…9701backed Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc098…cd90backed Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…5518backed Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…50f5backed Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 76c | 4,100$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.95 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 172 | 35.5%61 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?this page
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Yes won
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.