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Fifa International · resolved market

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,904,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,501,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,904,081 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,821 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d36…0e68backed Yes57c3,403,737$1,940,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463,607.021225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed No42c900,000$378,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378,0003354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed No43c825,903$355,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355,138.231931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4761…5ae8backed No42c589,572$249,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249,506.643040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes58c586,972$340,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246,528.2411642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No43c567,153$243,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243,484.3777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No29c544,495$157,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157,545.884,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes57c449,999$256,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193,499.7415552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked No43c449,995$193,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193,497.668932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes57c439,961$250,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189,174.82,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed Yes57c387,959$221,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166,822.22774.1%20 W · 7 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+98.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No33c341,388$113,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113,656.6956541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes63c303,185$189,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,658.698,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed No18c248,664$45,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,393.127839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No5c223,200$11,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,095.3915844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No43c218,770$93,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,995.5725038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No42c200,000$84,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,0006448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No43c192,529$81,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,913.0929952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No43c189,260$81,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,381.820844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No43c151,300$65,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,0596546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes57c151,072$85,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,183.0317452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No16c141,239$22,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,373.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes57c100,000$57,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,00021343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…06dfbacked Yes57c86,566$49,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,221.561136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e05…7720backed No43c85,033$36,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,564.192343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes77c81,006$61,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,012.351,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No42c75,910$31,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,882.367941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No35c72,828$25,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,180.252,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No38c70,958$26,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,703.3616244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked No6c70,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2003525.7%9 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No43c61,332$26,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,531.286645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No43c53,502$23,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,009.7316835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No42c53,285$22,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,379.787843.6%34 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Yes58c51,500$29,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,6309747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed No43c50,559$21,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,563.099142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No6c50,500$3,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,031.920448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes57c50,000$28,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,499.9817840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked No43c50,000$21,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,499.896627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No43c48,178$20,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,716.4813235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No42c48,075$20,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,416.431,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c4d…a427backed Yes66c46,671$31,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,670.573644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No12c46,529$5,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,553.0618738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb6…06dabacked Yes56c45,326$25,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,943.233759.5%22 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Yes57c44,735$25,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,236.054178%32 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No6c42,605$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.424,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes57c40,000$22,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,199.9927039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No16c38,208$6,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,035.6724441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Yes57c35,000$19,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,049.96159%36 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No8c34,495$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.6314542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes77c34,209$26,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,901.4379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No43c34,055$14,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,643.311,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No43c34,012$14,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,625.131,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No35c33,946$11,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,847.5529333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No14c33,787$4,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,804.6221738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No43c33,486$14,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,399.0319345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No42c31,957$13,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,422.135244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No42c31,609$13,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,275.949322.6%21 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes57c31,562$18,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,557.4738734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Yes56c31,400$17,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,8166758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No42c31,240$13,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,120.86149.2%30 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No42c30,272$12,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,746.567642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed No4c30,092$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28329018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked No43c30,000$12,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,9001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes56c30,000$16,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,199.9413959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No42c29,922$12,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,567.269247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce80…9a82backed Yes57c29,145$16,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,532.183951.3%20 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+10.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61e4…ca76backed No44c27,907$12,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,279.261861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No43c27,737$11,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,916.1140239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked No42c27,699$11,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,633.617852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a2…353abacked Yes58c27,600$16,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,5924841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No43c27,109$11,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,521.718845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No42c27,000$11,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,339.8914139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No0c26,876$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.997634.2%26 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No9c26,515$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.8738819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No42c25,752$10,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,815.667630.3%23 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No43c25,500$10,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,964.937038.6%27 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed No42c25,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,500.179131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes56c25,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0006045%27 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No22c23,000$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9901,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb840…55e7backed No44c22,726$9,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.381050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked No42c22,620$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,500.224936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Yes58c22,541$13,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,467.252937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed No45c22,440$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No42c22,360$9,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,392.53638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c22,247$9,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,547.291,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb376…a463backed No42c21,497$9,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,060.717343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No43c20,762$8,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,927.677343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No1c20,369$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8748438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Yes58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4007050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes75c20,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Yes57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,6001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9826…e7febacked No43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6004953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+73.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No39c20,000$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,699.9819038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca02…76d3backed No43c19,138$8,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,229.237835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6d…9f2abacked No43c17,756$7,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,642.446536.9%24 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Yes57c17,544$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,543.869653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b6…2fefbacked Yes57c17,544$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,543.863971.8%28 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No41c17,525$7,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,243.9514551%74 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Yes58c17,417$10,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,316.824129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes58c17,241$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,241.389549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.