TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9826…e7fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT4953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+73.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.63
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.72
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$600
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+890.5%+$8,990.38
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,451.6%+$1,180.9
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+962%+$829.22
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+180.1%+$401.87
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$120
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,193.78
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$929Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$384.22
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,845
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,483Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+101%+$3,517.5
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,630
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.2
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.48
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$112
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,654Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$2,446
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+400%+$1,600
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,728.13
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$93.6
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.9
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$709.06
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.32
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.63
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$901.81
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.57
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$164.99
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$104.37
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$131.99
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,321Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$760.22
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.99
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.79
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.5
Will Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$565.62
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.84
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,860Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$7,139.98
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$82.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,220
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,350
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,560
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12,056Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$9,954.3
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,950
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$675.72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,200
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$4,560.16
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-55.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,300
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,559.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+190.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$7,068Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+190.1%+$13,432.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$317.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$144
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scunthorpe United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,604.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.