World Politics · resolved market
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4c19d009845f3521237f58cb23307a3153cea3efa388469f639b3290314e1d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 13c | 19,746$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,275.6 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 14,150$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…40a3backed No | 78c | 13,866$10,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf097…f868backed Yes | 2c | 10,238$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 49c | 10,066$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895.41 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 72c | 9,821$7,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.17 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked No | 14c | 9,093$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,846.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +364.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 5c | 7,681$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d41…6acabacked Yes | 50c | 7,675$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 8c | 5,824$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.26 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 60c | 5,785$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.8 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 39c | 5,049$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.35 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…2e45backed Yes | 29c | 4,834$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.58 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…d0e6backed Yes | 65c | 4,496$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 7c | 4,104$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.05 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 5c | 4,075$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.71 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 12c | 3,896$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.28 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 80c | 3,820$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.89 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 57c | 3,697$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 39c | 3,638$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.66 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9826…e7febacked Yes | 27c | 3,395$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.81 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 55c | 3,343$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.19 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc26…4b92backed Yes | 13c | 3,306$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.02 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +635.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…e8f6backed Yes | 53c | 3,283$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.32 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +922.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5979…bbcebacked Yes | 5c | 3,254$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed Yes | 43c | 3,221$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.79 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 3,067$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.19 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 42c | 3,062$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.44 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 3,028$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.1 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…62b1backed Yes | 10c | 3,025$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 80c | 2,535$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.24 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 43c | 2,483$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.83 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 18c | 2,473$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.42 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 18c | 2,460$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.97 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…8554backed Yes | 71c | 2,237$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…f103backed Yes | 39c | 2,233$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 10c | 2,195$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.03 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed Yes | 7c | 2,145$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…9a97backed No | 10c | 2,102$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 78c | 2,043$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.86 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 41c | 2,029$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c44…fcd4backed Yes | 22c | 2,023$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.39 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.75 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 47c | 1,959$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.51 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…da5bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,946$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,939$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.98 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 11c | 1,868$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.24 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8a8abacked Yes | 14c | 1,731$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…6305backed Yes | 27c | 1,669$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked No | 74c | 1,598$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.07 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +188.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…2cd1backed Yes | 76c | 1,595$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.51 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed Yes | 16c | 1,556$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…963bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,529$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,510$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.24 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed Yes | 60c | 1,426$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.23 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 64c | 1,374$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.66 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 16c | 1,337$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.18 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,316$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 1,290$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.88 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 4c | 1,289$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 50c | 1,241$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.13 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 46c | 1,174$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.35 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 8c | 1,081$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked No | 17c | 1,012$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…7fc8backed Yes | 4c | 1,008$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 51c | 1,000$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.77 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d4…9002backed Yes | 23c | 999.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 33c | 945.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.85 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 8c | 938.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…b5c3backed Yes | 5c | 917.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…743ebacked No | 13c | 909.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +658.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5d…0487backed Yes | 14c | 901.08$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…0432backed Yes | 57c | 899.73$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 48c | 877.94$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.19 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 67c | 873.74$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.51 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 868.52$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.52 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c9…1c13backed Yes | 45c | 829.9$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 13c | 828.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…74ecbacked Yes | 11c | 820$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 69c | 804.91$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.61 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 754.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 80c | 751$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.21 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…85ecbacked No | 78c | 692.33$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…b6c4backed No | 50c | 619.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 78c | 609.53$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed No | 13c | 600$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked No | 67c | 599.99$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…79fbbacked Yes | 9c | 569.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 58c | 557.75$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.88 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 64c | 537$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.4 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 27c | 518.57$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 15c | 500$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.63 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefc…9408backed Yes | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed No | 78c | 499.99$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 27c | 496.17$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes | 23c | 494$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed Yes | 37c | 479.76$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 6c | 465.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked Yes | 16c | 448.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?this page
- Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes won
- Will Louise Haigh be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.