World Politics · resolved market
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b99a9a67743ddb1e2b20e6aee44c7ece3004085b637ba758d54a2a4d3178501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 14,150$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 9c | 10,026$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.71 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d41…6acabacked Yes | 19c | 4,273$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 8c | 4,073$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.29 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed Yes | 9c | 3,304$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9826…e7febacked Yes | 37c | 2,668$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.63 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,587$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.25 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 32c | 2,562$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 2,510$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,459$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.1 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28d…1fb7backed Yes | 15c | 2,415$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.72 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 2,301$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc26…4b92backed Yes | 7c | 2,240$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.03 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +635.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed Yes | 11c | 1,874$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…8392backed Yes | 11c | 1,841$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…89bdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,697$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,695$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.45 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,693$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 16c | 1,594$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.14 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c44…fcd4backed Yes | 13c | 1,568$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…e8f6backed Yes | 9c | 1,462$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +922.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 68c | 1,304$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.39 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 80c | 1,201$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.06 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 69c | 1,121$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.17 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…f103backed Yes | 38c | 1,076$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…f322backed Yes | 5c | 1,058$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed Yes | 37c | 1,015$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfb…a28cbacked Yes | 6c | 968.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 11c | 943.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5d…0487backed Yes | 11c | 942.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 32c | 941.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 9c | 911.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…8ab9backed Yes | 19c | 898.81$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 12c | 872.34$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…1e57backed Yes | 6c | 859.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 8c | 799.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 757.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked Yes | 6c | 733.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +188.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 21c | 710.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 13c | 643.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 4c | 632.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed No | 77c | 557.35$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1299…6277backed Yes | 36c | 555.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 56c | 549.28$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.28 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…45c6backed No | 73c | 531.27$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 16c | 500$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…310abacked Yes | 5c | 494.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 78c | 464.45$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 35c | 448.63$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.36 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a025backed Yes | 6c | 437.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 14c | 435.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…95cebacked Yes | 13c | 432.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a28…d58bbacked Yes | 24c | 418.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -65%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 35c | 413.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.77 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c9…1c13backed Yes | 16c | 407.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…7c76backed Yes | 15c | 401.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 3c | 396.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 80c | 394.61$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…5f55backed Yes | 7c | 392.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed Yes | 11c | 387.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 7c | 382.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…ee6abacked Yes | 48c | 381.73$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +407.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 11c | 380$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed Yes | 14c | 362.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 10c | 350$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 9c | 327.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked Yes | 13c | 310.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 67c | 289.41$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 6c | 283.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 4c | 278.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 36c | 272.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes | 7c | 268.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Yes | 7c | 264$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 14c | 263.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 12c | 255.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…d0e6backed No | 68c | 253.24$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…4b54backed Yes | 16c | 251.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…ec1cbacked Yes | 20c | 247.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 14c | 247.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 6c | 246.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 47c | 240$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a88…7190backed Yes | 22c | 231.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…3b06backed Yes | 24c | 204.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…f0c4backed No | 58c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 18c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…2e01backed No | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…0bc8backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…2cd1backed Yes | 13c | 199.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…790cbacked No | 58c | 192.26$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 7c | 184$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 9c | 180.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…74ecbacked Yes | 16c | 174$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 10c | 171.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…0359backed Yes | 19c | 168.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 9c | 168.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…525fbacked No | 66c | 151.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 16c | 150.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?this page
- Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes won
- Will Louise Haigh be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.