World Politics · resolved market
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7382655d7ff8ac1fb43073e5b6e8b1799db8d14d747f385610ba0815e5617fb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 532 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 15,650$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 66c | 13,354$8,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.87 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d41…6acabacked Yes | 54c | 12,679$6,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,891.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 5c | 10,608$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.01 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfb…a28cbacked Yes | 6c | 8,948$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 57c | 7,892$4,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.33 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 54c | 7,135$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870.12 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…8392backed Yes | 51c | 6,962$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 17c | 6,796$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.94 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed Yes | 56c | 5,809$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.05 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 11c | 4,850$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed Yes | 16c | 4,642$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.45 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…5fd5backed Yes | 18c | 4,589$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 4,062$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 33c | 3,716$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 29cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 43c | 3,490$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.97 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 3,373$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.43 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 72c | 3,257$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.65 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 26c | 3,162$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.94 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 3,131$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,124$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9826…e7febacked Yes | 19c | 3,070$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.57 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c44…fcd4backed No | 61c | 2,931$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes | 39c | 2,745$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.49 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 52c | 2,521$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.88 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 71c | 2,343$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.22 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 32c | 2,310$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.9 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1327…ac1cbacked No | 41c | 2,129$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 49c | 1,994$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.07 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 78c | 1,956$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.77 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…e8f6backed Yes | 14c | 1,921$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +922.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,905$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.78 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda37…1d00backed Yes | 6c | 1,774$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…f2fabacked Yes | 33c | 1,689$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,650$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.4 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3150…3be9backed No | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 39c | 1,463$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.88 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 39c | 1,450$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.76 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 75c | 1,438$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.17 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5d…0487backed No | 43c | 1,402$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 19c | 1,340$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.68 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…c3f7backed No | 67c | 1,324$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 1,324$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.82 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…17a6backed Yes | 35c | 1,280$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed No | 55c | 1,264$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.62 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 41c | 1,244$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,233$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c65…d60dbacked No | 79c | 1,200$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,184$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.28 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe43d…f095backed No | 31c | 1,153$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c9…1c13backed No | 55c | 1,147$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,137$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 59c | 1,112$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.25 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 54c | 1,086$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 17c | 1,067$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ff…c05fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,004$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed No | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed Yes | 50c | 972.59$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed Yes | 36c | 966.26$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.07 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…cdb6backed Yes | 4c | 953.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…f103backed Yes | 23c | 952.95$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 79c | 949.96$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.49 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked No | 78c | 907.63$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 43c | 871.14$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.7 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf097…f868backed Yes | 20c | 868.03$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35e…7cc4backed No | 55c | 865.88$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a025backed Yes | 4c | 862.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes | 32c | 822$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.66 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 51c | 819.58$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.59 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked No | 42c | 817$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.68 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 41c | 800.02$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.34 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb1…acc2backed Yes | 24c | 800$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked No | 44c | 786.29$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x825c…dfa0backed Yes | 5c | 751.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 18c | 729.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…ac9bbacked Yes | 45c | 718$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 50c | 714.55$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.64 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 35c | 710.55$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.46 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…4657backed Yes | 27c | 696.55$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 39c | 674.23$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 30c | 629.93$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5896…49aebacked No | 64c | 622.26$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 44c | 621.98$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.68 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…0bc8backed No | 50c | 600$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…1495backed Yes | 11c | 596.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…8748backed No | 39c | 583.8$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…9e91backed Yes | 54c | 578$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 21c | 560.48$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked No | 45c | 546.33$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…d0e6backed Yes | 44c | 525.16$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed Yes | 27c | 523.12$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked No | 47c | 502.82$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 4c | 500.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…9de8backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 16c | 499.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 31c | 491.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 52c | 483.21$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.93 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +92%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?this page
- Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes won
- Will Louise Haigh be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.