TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf92c…87f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
240
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT5261.5%32 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.5
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$439.11
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$432
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$369
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Morocco to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$184.68
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$76.36
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,026
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$243
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.64
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$585.6
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.41
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$735
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+181.5%+$43.99
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$71.7
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+140.6%+$395.56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$240.55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$922Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$922.22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$98.8
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.72
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$435.39
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$790
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$270.44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$810
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$9.29
Muchova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Noskova vs. Mertens: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pegula vs. Gauff: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Minaur vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Auger-Aliassime vs. Fokina: Match O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Ferybacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Khachanov vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Set Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jodar vs. Mochizuki: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Duckworth (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nuno Borges vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.87
Abidjan 2: Hamish Stewart vs Blaise Bicknellbacked Hamish Stewart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$341.09
Cagliari: Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$100
Ostrava: Zdenek Kolar vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 24 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$216
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$576
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$666
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,840.29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$2,295
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$448
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$960
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.76
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$459
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.91
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$443.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+121.5%+$632.89
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$210.58
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$132
Will Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.33
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$137.29
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,624.72
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$243
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$342.17
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$342.91
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$179.55
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$951
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$909Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$909
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$715.28
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$11.79
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$294.46
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$624
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+165.9%+$662
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$345.47
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.31
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.06
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$894.15
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,350
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$432
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$161.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.08
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.34
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.33
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.1
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.38
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.49
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.76
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.68
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.46
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$486.55
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.9
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.45
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.56
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.78
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$378
All 10 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+154.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$720
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$212.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$207
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.