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MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$290,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,544 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Under52c202,956$105,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,135.8148648.8%237 W · 249 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over47c44,580$20,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,952.532351.7%167 W · 156 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00017448.3%84 W · 90 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over50c25,000$12,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,455.927843.6%34 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over47c21,239$10,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,017.3211,60652.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L+210.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over47c15,463$7,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,267.6175050.8%381 W · 369 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Under53c11,398$5,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,401.5949150.9%250 W · 241 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under50c10,474$5,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,202.362,31452.5%1,216 W · 1,098 L+26.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over48c6,666$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.6847953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over50c6,576$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.962454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over48c6,001$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910.072,31951.1%1,184 W · 1,135 L+26.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over48c5,028$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.983,54151%1,805 W · 1,736 L+53.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over50c5,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4801,08348.1%521 W · 562 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3501,30550.2%655 W · 650 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c3,935$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.671,59348.6%774 W · 819 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Over47c3,813$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.113531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over47c3,614$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.5280147.7%382 W · 419 L+3.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over50c3,495$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.7347148.6%229 W · 242 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c3,426$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.234,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over48c3,214$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.8892854%501 W · 427 L+22.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under50c2,871$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.164,40147.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L-76.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Over47c2,766$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.21,14142.7%487 W · 654 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under59c2,559$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.419250%46 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c2,500$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.825,51750.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L+26.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over50c2,256$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.941942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c2,191$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.067,04650.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over49c2,121$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.2375248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96024739.3%97 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c1,947$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.186,12855.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L+347.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Under54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.4123048.7%112 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over48c1,560$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.91,67149.1%820 W · 851 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68658852.9%311 W · 277 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over48c1,298$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.322,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over22c1,244$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.7812,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed Over49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009062.2%56 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over47c1,141$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.192,59361.5%1,595 W · 998 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over47c1,042$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.8997050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over47c1,029$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.581,74249.1%856 W · 886 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f4…d876backed Over48c966.09$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over50c889$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.2865949.2%324 W · 335 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33624158.9%142 W · 99 L+17.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c697.34$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.714,52448.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L-42.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over47c609.69$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.048,45147.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L+81.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29488350.4%445 W · 438 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c596$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.121,54348.6%750 W · 793 L-5.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Over48c589$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7226444.3%117 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under71c526.73$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.678,25146.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L+41.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under71c509$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.384,10757.6%2,366 W · 1,741 L+65.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a3…5b70backed Over33c479.09$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.963023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c479.09$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8411,05451.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L+137.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over47c478.71$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9939948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over48c454.29$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5446045.7%210 W · 250 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over15c436.09$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.781,04448.9%511 W · 533 L+2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c414$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5841051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over34c408.22$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.242,14851.3%1,102 W · 1,046 L+50.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18816953.8%91 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x682a…c87dbacked Under53c360$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.23850%19 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over47c345.97$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.611,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over46c332.53$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9649358.8%290 W · 203 L+30.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over50c324.84$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2328154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over49c304.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over47c245$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1615051.3%77 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over46c220.45$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.34037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Over47c206.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1841548.7%202 W · 213 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under76c203.37$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.314,19750.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x955c…a075backed Over50c203.04$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over49c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972,42349.9%1,208 W · 1,215 L+20.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10036343%156 W · 207 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over48c199.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.981,22454%661 W · 563 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over47c199$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.531,89449.3%934 W · 960 L+24.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36dd…bfccbacked Over50c197.42$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.715042%21 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over15c193$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.554,42845.1%1,996 W · 2,432 L+87.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,22150%610 W · 611 L+5.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1939047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcada…df46backed Over47c183.7$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.342254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Over50c170.07$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.04825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2961349.1%301 W · 312 L-1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over48c160$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.473849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over12c144$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.314225.4%36 W · 106 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605435.2%19 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under51c112.71$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7452852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Under73c112$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.681,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047850.4%241 W · 237 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f48…a145backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69a…d57fbacked Under54c104.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.952365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over47c103.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.81,29256.8%734 W · 558 L+31.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa214…0653backed Over47c100.28$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.133946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497755.8%43 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4955347%260 W · 293 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4738541.8%161 W · 224 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf10…b9b0backed Over47c99.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.553246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Over26c87.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8615349%75 W · 78 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Over47c79$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1368846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29f…dc4ebacked Over48c78.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.458545.9%39 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Over47c77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1918347%86 W · 97 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c76.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.543,01848%1,448 W · 1,570 L+14.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over49c75.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2153644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.