MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c10bd96e773e57fd9c92fcc4d8ba7b49524e332004f6e9601fddfc9dce28ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 20,481$9,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,386.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 55c | 19,373$10,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,628.13 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 5,300$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 4,885$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.03 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 3,157$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.59 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 2,004$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.96 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 1,856$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.06 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…d5d8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 1,263$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 1,050$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.21 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 1,001$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.04 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 981.8$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.17 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 943.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.34 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 915.23$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.31 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 790.75$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.65 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…b054backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 26c | 778.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 728.77$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 673.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339d…b918backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +553.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 447.76$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 389.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.38 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 10c | 317$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 299.97$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 17c | 289.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 267.42$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 249.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…0a0bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 7c | 224$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 217.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 213.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 206.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 199.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 185$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 183$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Colorado Rockies | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 126.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 118.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 101.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 97.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 91.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 91.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…3d03backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 79.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 57.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2c…b816backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 51.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 167 | 34.7%58 W · 109 L | -17.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 26c | 44.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 40.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…b520backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Colorado Rockies | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8be5…e3cabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 31.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…6882backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 26.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x946d…c8a6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 22.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…3320backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 22.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 21.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 20.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.