TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe14a…62be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
219
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: WNBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT15145.7%69 W · 82 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+206.6%+$33.69
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$4.95
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$7.55
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$6.3
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$28.48
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.87
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.04
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$30.9
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$9.87
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.35
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$14.29
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+50%+$5
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.33
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$12.07
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$3.98
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$29.68
Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$18.8
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.71
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+250.3%+$80.75
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.55
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$20.3
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$6.26
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+249.7%+$122.81
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$37.92
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.89
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.95
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.76
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.59
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$52.23
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.57
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.61
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.07
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.13
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.72
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+238.2%+$65.77
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Croatia Open: Juan Carlos Prado vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.08
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$46.33
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.87
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$42.53
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.69
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
Wimbledon WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$24
All 8 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$69.76
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.65
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$36.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.