TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof NIP, K27
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked NIP63c35,253$22,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,872.7636453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked K2737c16,279$6,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,083.475,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked NIP61c15,571$9,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,083.9475452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed K2736c8,099$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.6410850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed K2736c5,299$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.2138841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed K2741c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0503652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed NIP63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.9933359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked K2736c3,150$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1342642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed NIP57c3,013$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.3640542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb123…f594backed NIP63c2,702$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked K2719c2,669$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.6919229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed K2736c2,614$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.922,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed K2741c2,259$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.5414846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed K2725c2,034$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.011,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed K2745c2,000$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.34,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked K2746c2,000$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.453,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked NIP57c1,703$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.2220637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NIP64c1,680$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.281,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed K2734c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51021953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed K2735c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9915838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc793…f66fbacked K2720c1,437$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.174131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed K2737c1,398$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.5845854.8%251 W · 207 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed K2737c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50059055.3%326 W · 264 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed K2724c1,345$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.862,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed NIP64c1,250$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked K278c1,145$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0638032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed K2736c1,096$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked K2722c1,055$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.140137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05f7…863fbacked K2737c1,050$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked K2736c1,050$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9544747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed K2740c1,009$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed K2734c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34029449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed NIP63c999.98$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9955845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked K2745c962$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.732,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked NIP63c954.96$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.3322266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed K2742c954$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.042,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed K2736c944.44$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed K2735c936.32$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.983938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed NIP71c918.96$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2692,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked NIP54c870.44$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.8127740.8%113 W · 164 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed NIP63c793.97$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7713454.5%73 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x657a…d1f4backed K2736c784.09$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.271520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-62.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed NIP64c779.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.468361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked K2712c720.11$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.113,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6297…1e59backed K2741c710.37$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.885558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed K2737c695.79$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7776546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d99…9c27backed K2734c666.55$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9614439.6%57 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed K2737c599.92$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9737848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed NIP64c597.66$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.1673658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked K2735c582$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5920045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed NIP67c556.9$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7823456.8%133 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked K2723c541$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.331,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed K2737c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008925.8%23 W · 66 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked K279c500$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.174633.4%249 W · 497 L-48.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed K2738c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19031261.2%191 W · 121 L+21.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked K2736c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805056%28 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…5c91backed K273c499.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512627%34 W · 92 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked NIP76c469.11$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.732,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked NIP64c466.48$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.937135.2%25 W · 46 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed NIP64c454.09$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.472860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed K2738c444.19$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.514,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed K2724c436.79$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7175438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed K2738c434.21$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16546354%250 W · 213 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed K2734c427.35$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2413258.3%77 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed NIP64c422.26$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4421652.8%114 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed K2736c421.77$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.082,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb214…0396backed K2736c412$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3250%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9f8…ed4ebacked K2718c408.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.371566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked NIP58c399.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16813354.9%73 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed K2733c399.44$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8196740.7%394 W · 573 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked K2743c376.43$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8648845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NIP80c374.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed K2746c360.74$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9427544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked NIP58c320$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.466446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked K2745c318.18$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.234,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked K2744c311.53$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.073,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked K2737c310.81$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11522751.5%117 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed NIP60c310$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.51,48458%861 W · 623 L+66.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1571…1a1cbacked NIP65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed NIP65c302.53$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.971,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed NIP63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11155441.2%228 W · 326 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked K2737c286.36$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9558345.3%264 W · 319 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b0…df70backed NIP58c279.95$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.673956.4%22 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked K2716c276.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4737322.3%83 W · 290 L-42.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed K2737c272.09$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7718645.2%84 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed K2736c271.65$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.793743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed K2736c267.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+62.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed K2723c266$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8561737.9%234 W · 383 L-22.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed K2743c260$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.827056.3%152 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed NIP77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.745766.7%38 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed K2720c254.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0913142%55 W · 76 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed K2713c250$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.51,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed K2741c246.89$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9177351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed K2722c236.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.232,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed K2735c235.5$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.438454.8%46 W · 38 L+12.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+42.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked K2733c227.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7616236.4%59 W · 103 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked NIP54c222.46$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.959742.3%41 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked K2734c217.29$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.882751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked K2747c204.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9613742.3%58 W · 79 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed NIP74c200.8$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2118054.4%98 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.