TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof NIP, K27
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,257 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked NIP77c5,932$4,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.3963157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed K2747c3,641$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.262,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked NIP64c3,000$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.9920637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc1…c26bbacked NIP71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.993447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked K2758c2,691$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.7840137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed K2728c2,315$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.466,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed K2728c2,237$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.141,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked K276c2,116$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.842,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked NIP48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04092456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked K275c1,781$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4843152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked NIP66c1,692$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.436453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked NIP72c1,689$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.7998052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked K2743c1,645$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.062,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11fe…0736backed NIP72c1,558$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.615100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+95.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked K2734c1,482$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50463541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked K2737c1,392$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.253,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked K2732c1,282$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.395,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked K2732c1,120$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.884,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed K2739c1,006$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.534,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed K2737c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3702,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412d…18c5backed K2732c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed K2732c999.95$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9915838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x765a…5ce4backed NIP62c870$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.114949%73 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed K2728c868.88$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2915244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed K2743c831$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.3361034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked NIP72c737.22$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4213938.1%53 W · 86 L-11.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed K2751c700$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35513142%55 W · 76 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.671,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed K2732c647$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4528651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed NIP67c618.61$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.3121953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed K2729c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1745,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ac…9170backed NIP68c597.59$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.23728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed K279c512.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4442638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed NIP61c499.99$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.51,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked K2737c450$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.513834.8%48 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked K2746c434.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked K2729c368.97$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1074546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed K2728c341.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9518837.2%70 W · 118 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked K2735c273.34$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.333,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked K2731c264.63$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.671,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed NIP54c235.22$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.326624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked K2732c214.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.698419%16 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-40.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed NIP67c203.81$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.478925.8%23 W · 66 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed K2728c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5637145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed K2756c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked K2756c178.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.411,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd166…e432backed NIP57c172.35$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.111637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed NIP55c170.65$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9458745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf07b…def2backed K2730c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505851.7%30 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked NIP52c157.68$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.91,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked K2743c156.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6813742.3%58 W · 79 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ec…2711backed K2743c156.83$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678643%37 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed NIP72c152.77$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7824451.2%125 W · 119 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked NIP62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5741250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed NIP70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4537557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked NIP50c149.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6743237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked K2755c146.9$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.818549.2%91 W · 94 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed NIP75c144.84$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2144654.9%245 W · 201 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96fe…e78cbacked K2734c142.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.041650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed NIP43c140$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.830247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed NIP69c139.62$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.871,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed NIP72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8935148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed NIP65c129.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.968753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x320c…2d7abacked NIP68c119$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.081163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb69…8d61backed K2750c107.54$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked NIP67c100.01$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3672353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed NIP62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3817054.7%93 W · 77 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked NIP68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3236645.6%167 W · 199 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked NIP60c95.48$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9750358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed K2730c95.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.374,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked NIP67c91.22$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.092751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked K2756c85.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4853034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed NIP70c84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.578252.4%43 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed NIP66c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.242831.3%134 W · 294 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed K2739c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed NIP71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4249766.8%332 W · 165 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed NIP46c68.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3924842.3%105 W · 143 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed22…1641backed NIP56c67.86$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed NIP66c63.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7841938.9%163 W · 256 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed K2752c53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.567553.3%40 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed NIP71c52.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1436645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked K2737c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.671,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed NIP70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1593261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed NIP68c49.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7122053.2%117 W · 103 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed NIP61c48.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8577146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3edb…11b8backed K2735c48.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.668541.2%35 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked K2728c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05e…04cebacked NIP67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7819259.4%114 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked NIP61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed NIP67c37.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.228052.9%148 W · 132 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed NIP53c34.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.262,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefe8…1edbbacked NIP68c34.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9910151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked NIP44c33.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.841,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8948…76e5backed K2754c33.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0740457.2%231 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc2…a9ebbacked NIP66c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.226258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed NIP75c31.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9312937.2%48 W · 81 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x51d7…a25fbacked NIP67c30.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.921145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5c4…74bbbacked NIP67c30.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.924355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x382c…2261backed NIP74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.85862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x784c…fcb9backed NIP67c29.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.782040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.