CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef635e904b8ea345cec88df8208ab818793805159b0f5c48df0af8e7e0eb29e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked NIP | 77c | 5,932$4,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.39 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed K27 | 47c | 3,641$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.26 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked NIP | 64c | 3,000$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.99 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc1…c26bbacked NIP | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked K27 | 58c | 2,691$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.78 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 28c | 2,315$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.46 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed K27 | 28c | 2,237$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.14 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked K27 | 6c | 2,116$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked NIP | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked K27 | 5c | 1,781$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked NIP | 66c | 1,692$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.4 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NIP | 72c | 1,689$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.79 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked K27 | 43c | 1,645$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.06 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fe…0736backed NIP | 72c | 1,558$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked K27 | 34c | 1,482$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked K27 | 37c | 1,392$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.25 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked K27 | 32c | 1,282$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.39 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked K27 | 32c | 1,120$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.88 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 39c | 1,006$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.53 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed K27 | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412d…18c5backed K27 | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed K27 | 32c | 999.95$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed NIP | 62c | 870$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.1 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed K27 | 28c | 868.88$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.29 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed K27 | 43c | 831$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.33 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked NIP | 72c | 737.22$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.42 | 139 | 38.1%53 W · 86 L | -11.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed K27 | 51c | 700$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed K27 | 32c | 647$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.45 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed NIP | 67c | 618.61$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.31 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed K27 | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ac…9170backed NIP | 68c | 597.59$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed K27 | 9c | 512.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed NIP | 61c | 499.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked K27 | 37c | 450$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked K27 | 46c | 434.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked K27 | 29c | 368.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed K27 | 28c | 341.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked K27 | 35c | 273.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked K27 | 31c | 264.63$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed NIP | 54c | 235.22$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked K27 | 32c | 214.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed NIP | 67c | 203.81$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed K27 | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed K27 | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 52.8%133 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked K27 | 56c | 178.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…e432backed NIP | 57c | 172.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed NIP | 55c | 170.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed K27 | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NIP | 52c | 157.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked K27 | 43c | 156.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed K27 | 43c | 156.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed NIP | 72c | 152.77$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked NIP | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed NIP | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked NIP | 50c | 149.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked K27 | 55c | 146.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed NIP | 75c | 144.84$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96fe…e78cbacked K27 | 34c | 142.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed NIP | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NIP | 69c | 139.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed NIP | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed NIP | 65c | 129.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320c…2d7abacked NIP | 68c | 119$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…8d61backed K27 | 50c | 107.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked NIP | 67c | 100.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed NIP | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked NIP | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked NIP | 60c | 95.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed K27 | 30c | 95.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked NIP | 67c | 91.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked K27 | 56c | 85.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed NIP | 70c | 84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed NIP | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed K27 | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed NIP | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed NIP | 46c | 68.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…1641backed NIP | 56c | 67.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed NIP | 66c | 63.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed K27 | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed NIP | 71c | 52.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked K27 | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed NIP | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed NIP | 68c | 49.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed NIP | 61c | 48.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed K27 | 35c | 48.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…ee6cbacked K27 | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked NIP | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked NIP | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed NIP | 67c | 37.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NIP | 53c | 34.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…1edbbacked NIP | 68c | 34.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked NIP | 44c | 33.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed K27 | 54c | 33.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked NIP | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed NIP | 75c | 31.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…a25fbacked NIP | 67c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c4…74bbbacked NIP | 67c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed NIP | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784c…fcb9backed NIP | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.