CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e24a6cd0cbf61e548f2488b20e189b6535d7e74b178f214addd02abef8d3782
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked NIP | 32c | 12,280$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,381.55 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked K27 | 68c | 2,143$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.85 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed K27 | 68c | 2,015$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.8 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked K27 | 70c | 2,012$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.1 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 70c | 2,002$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.45 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed NIP | 32c | 1,961$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.77 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked K27 | 70c | 1,720$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.04 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 63c | 1,704$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.61 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc33…eb35backed K27 | 65c | 1,117$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.86 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked K27 | 69c | 612.39$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.55 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed K27 | 65c | 610.68$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.94 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed K27 | 66c | 522.38$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.13 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked K27 | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed K27 | 76c | 463.95$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.6 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked NIP | 40c | 461.6$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.64 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked K27 | 60c | 350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed K27 | 65c | 330$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked NIP | 34c | 224$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed K27 | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed NIP | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed K27 | 70c | 142.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked NIP | 38c | 129.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed NIP | 31c | 128.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed K27 | 69c | 122.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed NIP | 20c | 104.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed NIP | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed NIP | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed NIP | 40c | 99.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed NIP | 33c | 98.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed K27 | 63c | 88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked NIP | 20c | 87.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed NIP | 29c | 87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked NIP | 33c | 83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked NIP | 61c | 75.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed K27 | 56c | 59.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed K27 | 63c | 59.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked NIP | 33c | 57.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed K27 | 61c | 57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked K27 | 61c | 56.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed NIP | 26c | 52.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed NIP | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked NIP | 32c | 47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed K27 | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed K27 | 73c | 44.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed NIP | 32c | 36.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed K27 | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked K27 | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked K27 | 36c | 33.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed K27 | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed K27 | 63c | 28.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed K27 | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed K27 | 76c | 23.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NIP | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed K27 | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked K27 | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 173 | 60.1%104 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed K27 | 71c | 15.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.