CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd368f9d2ee61bb840a2c9a644e7b4dc07ba50aeac58d1e14df0375f4092eae56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed K27 | 26c | 5,016$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.8 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NIP | 52c | 3,974$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NIP | 45c | 3,190$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.64 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked NIP | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked K27 | 18c | 2,295$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.38 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked NIP | 73c | 2,066$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.65 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked NIP | 62c | 1,708$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.15 | 389 | 41.9%163 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 47c | 1,697$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed K27 | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed K27 | 11c | 1,328$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.98 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NIP | 49c | 1,311$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.44 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NIP | 38c | 1,166$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.36 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked K27 | 47c | 917.74$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.33 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked K27 | 68c | 900.02$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.01 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked K27 | 24c | 831.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked K27 | 31c | 695.42$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.23 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked K27 | 47c | 671.17$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.51 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked NIP | 38c | 586.95$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.95 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93c2…29f9backed K27 | 57c | 552.46$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed K27 | 67c | 546.32$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.7 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed K27 | 68c | 537.5$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.38 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed K27 | 57c | 529.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked K27 | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed K27 | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc1…c26bbacked K27 | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed K27 | 41c | 469.87$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.65 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed NIP | 44c | 446.84$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.84 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed NIP | 60c | 443.23$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed K27 | 59c | 418.68$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 147 | 49.7%73 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked NIP | 57c | 398.24$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.92 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 26c | 345$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.08 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed K27 | 44c | 333.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed K27 | 43c | 327.62$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.87 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked K27 | 61c | 264.91$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked K27 | 68c | 227.94$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 139 | 38.1%53 W · 86 L | -11.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed NIP | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked NIP | 39c | 218.13$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.26 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…8573backed K27 | 58c | 213.19$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed NIP | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed NIP | 57c | 185.77$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed NIP | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked K27 | 57c | 163$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed K27 | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked K27 | 61c | 160.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed NIP | 54c | 151.18$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked K27 | 18c | 148$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked K27 | 76c | 143.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked K27 | 57c | 141.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked K27 | 27c | 135.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked NIP | 37c | 130.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…cd03backed K27 | 76c | 128.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed NIP | 41c | 126.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked NIP | 35c | 124.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed NIP | 22c | 117.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed K27 | 45c | 112.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed K27 | 45c | 110.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…1641backed NIP | 37c | 103.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…8d61backed K27 | 53c | 102.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…1acabacked K27 | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed K27 | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked NIP | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked NIP | 52c | 95.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed K27 | 68c | 94.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NIP | 36c | 93.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed K27 | 67c | 88.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed K27 | 65c | 77.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked K27 | 53c | 74.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed NIP | 56c | 73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked K27 | 66c | 72.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed K27 | 46c | 71.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed NIP | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ac…1694backed K27 | 67c | 71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked NIP | 41c | 70.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed NIP | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed K27 | 54c | 67.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed NIP | 34c | 66.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked K27 | 67c | 65.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked K27 | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed NIP | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed K27 | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed NIP | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked NIP | 56c | 54.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed NIP | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed NIP | 38c | 45.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed K27 | 42c | 45.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed NIP | 47c | 42.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…0c78backed K27 | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed NIP | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed K27 | 69c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…8063backed K27 | 49c | 37.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed NIP | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed K27 | 43c | 31.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed NIP | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NIP | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed K27 | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed K27 | 57c | 21.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked NIP | 58c | 21.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed K27 | 53c | 19.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked K27 | 69c | 19.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.