TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof NIP, K27
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed K2726c5,016$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.81,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NIP52c3,974$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9164,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked NIP45c3,190$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.643,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked NIP70c2,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75092456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked K2718c2,295$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.3840137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked NIP73c2,066$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.6563157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked NIP62c1,708$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.1538941.9%163 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NIP47c1,697$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.256,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed K2775c1,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12515244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed K2711c1,328$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.982,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked NIP49c1,311$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.442,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked NIP38c1,166$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.3698052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked K2747c917.74$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.334,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked K2768c900.02$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.0125651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked K2724c831.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked K2731c695.42$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.233,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked K2747c671.17$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.513,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked NIP38c586.95$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.954934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93c2…29f9backed K2757c552.46$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.28616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-65.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86bf…a172backed K2767c546.32$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.73836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed K2768c537.5$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.386238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed K2757c529.99$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.61,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.471,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked K2750c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25094645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed K2762c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31037557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc1…c26bbacked K2755c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.993447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed K2741c469.87$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6515838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed NIP44c446.84$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8425440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed NIP60c443.23$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2923861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af3…8598backed K2759c418.68$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24614749.7%73 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked NIP57c398.24$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9219546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed NIP26c345$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.085,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed K2744c333.5$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.198045%36 W · 44 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed K2743c327.62$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.874,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked K2761c264.91$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.684,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked K2768c227.94$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15513938.1%53 W · 86 L-11.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed NIP58c224.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.146457.8%37 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked NIP39c218.13$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2621354.5%116 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e0…8573backed K2758c213.19$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.277250%36 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed NIP52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9619152.9%101 W · 90 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed NIP57c185.77$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.886942%29 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed NIP59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7841260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked K2757c163$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.581,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed K2762c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018037.8%68 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked K2761c160.06$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.642,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed NIP54c151.18$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5437453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked K2718c148$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.649742.3%41 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked K2776c143.23$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9333057.3%189 W · 141 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a4f…9b0cbacked K2757c141.14$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.458351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked K2727c135.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.112,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked NIP37c130.93$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9353034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac5f…cd03backed K2776c128.7$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.816566.2%43 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3edb…11b8backed NIP41c126.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.998541.2%35 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked NIP35c124.34$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8727549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed NIP22c117.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6824842.3%105 W · 143 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed K2745c112.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036749.3%181 W · 186 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf07b…def2backed K2745c110.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505851.7%30 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed22…1641backed NIP37c103.65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb69…8d61backed K2753c102.4$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba2…1acabacked K2714c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145217.3%9 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed K2743c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4324850.4%125 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked NIP34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9913834.8%48 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked NIP52c95.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8313051.5%67 W · 63 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed K2768c94.03$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9424260.3%146 W · 96 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NIP36c93.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.272,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed K2767c88.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8422053.2%117 W · 103 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed K2765c77.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032361.6%199 W · 124 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked K2753c74.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2928935.3%102 W · 187 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed NIP56c73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.125044%22 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked K2766c72.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3728037.9%106 W · 174 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab05…52e9backed K2746c71.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.949654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed NIP70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4316958%98 W · 71 L-0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ac…1694backed K2767c71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.57850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked NIP41c70.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.571844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed NIP71c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.342831.3%134 W · 294 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed K2754c67.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4816038.1%61 W · 99 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed NIP34c66.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.721,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked K2767c65.87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4419548.2%94 W · 101 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked K2734c64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.051,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca8…b713backed NIP32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.57545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed K2768c59.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7993261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed NIP54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5619658.2%114 W · 82 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked NIP56c54.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1244747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed NIP32c46.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8849947.5%237 W · 262 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed NIP38c45.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2824451.2%125 W · 119 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4011…4a39backed K2742c45.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.918038.8%31 W · 49 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed NIP47c42.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb077…0c78backed K2752c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-50.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed NIP27c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.21936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed K2769c39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.917553.3%40 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6f…8063backed K2749c37.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.417132.4%23 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed NIP57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0959354.8%325 W · 268 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed K2743c31.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.544746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed NIP51c30.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532662%202 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked NIP50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.538032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed K2769c21.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1577146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed K2757c21.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1522954.6%125 W · 104 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked NIP58c21.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.941,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08f6…cd51backed K2753c19.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3813148.9%64 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked K2769c19.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.372339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.