TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Diamondbacksof Los Angeles Dodgers, Arizona Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,794 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers57c28,152$16,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,077.8261351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks43c20,243$8,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,476.3910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c17,358$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00023255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks43c7,608$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,339.8511,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c6,642$3,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,778.794,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Arizona Diamondbacks42c5,472$2,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,178.536246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Arizona Diamondbacks42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9001,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks42c4,336$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.426,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks43c4,096$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.723,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers58c1,999$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.2871650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c1,817$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.3616347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks46c1,319$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.2641051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c1,154$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.474,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Arizona Diamondbacks43c1,025$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.939848%47 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Arizona Diamondbacks43c1,000$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6729752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Arizona Diamondbacks42c999.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58016848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks43c929.9$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.052,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks43c919$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.468,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks42c667$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.861,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c619.11$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.196,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Arizona Diamondbacks43c517.33$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.31,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Arizona Diamondbacks42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29022638.5%87 W · 139 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c489.27$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.211,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c469.99$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4917348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks49c467.86$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.962,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks70c425.83$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf92…9e59backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks44c324$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.4445045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks42c298.79$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1732,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Arizona Diamondbacks43c249.98$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.492,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x797f…f08abacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c224.21$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.568050%40 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Arizona Diamondbacks46c205.09$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7557747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8499…950dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609945.5%45 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers57c174.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888754%47 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c154.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.131,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2208…53eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c136.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks42c121$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.183855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c120.46$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2547350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c119.04$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.472,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b08…351ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks43c111.91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.841553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks42c111.87$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.884,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks78c101.6$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.213,45651.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L+107.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Los Angeles Dodgers20c100.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.071,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Arizona Diamondbacks42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5899447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Arizona Diamondbacks42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5868942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks42c97.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.551,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks46c94.09$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8185949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c87.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Los Angeles Dodgers60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4473849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3952852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks80c78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.655,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks74c75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.578,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Arizona Diamondbacks50c66.4$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2517550.3%88 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad9…fc71backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c63.79$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39d…7a09backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c60.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.884542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Arizona Diamondbacks43c59.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1495252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks43c58.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.13875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+62.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe14a…62bebacked Arizona Diamondbacks46c57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.915145.7%69 W · 82 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Arizona Diamondbacks43c53.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.513054.6%71 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026753.9%144 W · 123 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255752.6%30 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4551656.6%292 W · 224 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a3…d760backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c44.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.524444.7%109 W · 135 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fd…62f1backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8766…4171backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c42.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1714351.7%74 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c42.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3235149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Arizona Diamondbacks41c41.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4242448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc29f…dc4ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks45c39.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.838545.9%39 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Arizona Diamondbacks46c36.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.792,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecde…04efbacked Los Angeles Dodgers57c34.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206448.4%31 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.639250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0098…71e0backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c31.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4515252%79 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c31.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.223,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c31.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5519542.6%83 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Arizona Diamondbacks50c29.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.777644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Los Angeles Dodgers57c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5352638.4%202 W · 324 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…2d27backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c27.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.272832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks43c25.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.828855.7%49 W · 39 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c25.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.081,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c23.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3397944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Arizona Diamondbacks73c23.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2873355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57bd…1c8cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c21.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Los Angeles Dodgers60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1229256.5%165 W · 127 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c18.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010066%66 W · 34 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.