MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a165a01426747174f2ab1daacdf1d2e143a82e8cbab08fc26cc9b60af19d5a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 56c | 89,053$49,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,187.64 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 56c | 70,000$39,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,800 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 61,798$27,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,122.51 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 43c | 42,805$18,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,551.09 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed Over | 44c | 35,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,400 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 40c | 19,529$7,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,739.82 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 67c | 10,000$6,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 6,064$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.27 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 5,747$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 4,487$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.27 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.99 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 2,535$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.54 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 2,403$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.5 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 49c | 2,076$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.04 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 77c | 1,884$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.19 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 55c | 1,669$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.15 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 71c | 1,434$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.75 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 44c | 1,142$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.45 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,058$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.72 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 45c | 918$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.1 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 44c | 909.08$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Under | 64c | 878.65$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 44c | 684.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.67 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Under | 52c | 596.8$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.8 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 56c | 549.98$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.84 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 44c | 526.11$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.49 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 504.73$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.45 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 56c | 476.11$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.49 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 43c | 473.43$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.57 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 396.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 56c | 390$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 56c | 375$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 44c | 347.27$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.91 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Under | 57c | 334.74$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.94 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 20c | 324.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 37c | 316.27$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.02 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 50c | 297$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.51 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Over | 19c | 293.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 43c | 244.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 37c | 230.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 44c | 205.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Under | 74c | 202.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 31c | 190.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 6c | 189$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 185.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Under | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 52c | 168.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Under | 69c | 156.59$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 45c | 139.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 44c | 123$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 53c | 120.74$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…806fbacked Over | 44c | 112.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Over | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 44c | 79.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 72c | 76.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 43c | 74.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 40c | 70.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 45c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 43c | 64.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 44c | 55.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 44c | 53.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 54c | 51.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 56c | 50.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 49.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…faeebacked Under | 50c | 48.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 52c | 46.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 43.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Over | 44c | 42.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 37c | 41.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 58c | 38.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Over | 42c | 35.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Over | 42c | 35.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Under | 57c | 30.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…4e60backed Over | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 51c | 29.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit TigersPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.